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icon for Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

icon for Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?

$10,550 ปริมาณ

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$10,550 ปริมาณ

Polymarket

1460+

$1,220 ปริมาณ

100%

1470+

$976 ปริมาณ

<1%

1490+

$1,566 ปริมาณ

<1%

1480+

$2,504 ปริมาณ

<1%

1510+

$1,857 ปริมาณ

<1%

1500+

$2,427 ปริมาณ

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Z.ai released GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26, 2026, as the first natively multimodal model in its GLM-5 series—a 320B-parameter MoE with 18B active parameters, 1M context, and hybrid sparse-linear attention for efficiency. It outperforms GLM-5.2 across coding and agentic benchmarks while approaching Claude Opus 4.8 at roughly one-tenth the cost, earning a 57 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and open weights on Hugging Face. Prior GLM-5 variants quickly entered Text Arena (arena.ai), with GLM-5.1 claiming the top open-model spot through strong coding and long-query results. Trader sentiment centers on whether this efficient release will post competitive Arena scores soon after launch, amid rapid Chinese model competition and platform evaluation timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.

A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered.

If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard.

A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,550
วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes

ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน

สิ้นสุด

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".Z.ai released GLM-5.3-Flash on August 26, 2026, as the first natively multimodal model in its GLM-5 series—a 320B-parameter MoE with 18B active parameters, 1M context, and hybrid sparse-linear attention for efficiency. It outperforms GLM-5.2 across coding and agentic benchmarks while approaching Claude Opus 4.8 at roughly one-tenth the cost, earning a 57 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and open weights on Hugging Face. Prior GLM-5 variants quickly entered Text Arena (arena.ai), with GLM-5.1 claiming the top open-model spot through strong coding and long-query results. Trader sentiment centers on whether this efficient release will post competitive Arena scores soon after launch, amid rapid Chinese model competition and platform evaluation timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.

A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered.

If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard.

A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,550
วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล

https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

ผู้ตัดสินผล

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an official Z.ai (Zhipu) model with a name or model identifier that includes "GLM," "5.3," and "Flash," regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a leaderboard entry such as glm-5.3-flash, including any dated snapshot or effort-labeled variant of it, would qualify, while GLM models whose name does not include "Flash," such as glm-5.3-max, glm-5.2-max, or glm-5.1, and earlier Flash-tier models, such as GLM-4.7-Flash or GLM-4.5-Flash, will not qualify. However, an entry appearing under the model's pre-release codename "Ox Alpha" will also qualify. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere. A model marked "AutoEval" will not be considered added to the leaderboard. Only scores displayed without the "AutoEval" label will be considered. If multiple models are added to the leaderboard on the same calendar date (ET), the highest-scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added to the leaderboard on the calendar date following the initial qualifying model's first appearance will not be considered. If a model is first added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard but is subsequently removed and not re-added, such that it is not displayed on the leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following its first appearance, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. A qualifying model must be newly added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard. Whether the model was previously released, publicly accessible, in beta, or otherwise available before appearing on the leaderboard is irrelevant for this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control. If this resolution source is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard, this market will resolve based on the first subsequent instance at which such a score becomes available on the leaderboard. If it remains unavailable through the end of the seventh day after the qualifying model first appears on the leaderboard or if no qualifying model release occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes

ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน

สิ้นสุด

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่มี 6 ผลลัพธ์ที่เป็นไปได้ โดยนักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้นตามสิ่งที่เชื่อว่าจะเกิดขึ้น ผลลัพธ์ที่นำอยู่ในปัจจุบันคือ "1460+" ที่ 100% ตามด้วย "1470+" ที่ 0% ราคาสะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนแบบเรียลไทม์ ตัวอย่างเช่น หุ้นที่มีราคา 100¢ หมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $10.6K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ Aug 26, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?" ดู 6 ผลลัพธ์ที่มีในหน้านี้ แต่ละผลลัพธ์แสดงราคาปัจจุบันที่เป็นตัวแทนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด เลือกผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเชื่อว่ามีโอกาสสูงสุด เลือก "Yes" เพื่อเทรดสนับสนุนหรือ "No" เพื่อเทรดคัดค้าน ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าผลลัพธ์ที่คุณเลือกถูกต้องเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $1 ต่อหุ้น ถ้าไม่ถูกต้อง จ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ตัวเต็งปัจจุบันสำหรับ "Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?" คือ "1460+" ที่ 100% ซึ่งหมายความว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 100% กับผลลัพธ์นั้น ผลลัพธ์ที่ตามมาคือ "1470+" ที่ 0% อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น จึงสะท้อนมุมมองรวมล่าสุดว่าอะไรมีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นมากที่สุด กลับมาดูบ่อยๆ หรือบุ๊กมาร์กหน้านี้เพื่อติดตามว่าอัตราเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไรเมื่อมีข้อมูลใหม่

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash Model: Text Arena Debut?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้