Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship has faced repeated delays after its May 2026 I/O announcement targeting June, with the model still in partner testing as of late July and lighter variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipping instead. This pattern of extended internal refinement and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic has left traders assigning the highest single-outcome probability (30%) to no release by September 30, while September dates remain tightly clustered as plausible windows for a public API or app rollout. Key swing factors include any confirmed partner feedback milestones, developer conference signals, or sudden benchmark releases that could accelerate or further slip the timeline amid typical AI model iteration cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by September 30 28%
September 23 17%
September 29 16%
September 2 14%
On or prior to September 1
11%
September 2
14%
September 3
8%
September 4
11%
September 5
13%
September 6
10%
September 7
13%
September 8
13%
September 9
13%
September 10
13%
September 11
12%
September 12
13%
September 13
13%
September 14
13%
September 15
12%
September 16
13%
September 17
13%
September 18
13%
September 19
13%
September 20
14%
September 21
10%
September 22
13%
September 23
17%
September 24
13%
September 25
9%
September 26
14%
September 27
13%
September 28
13%
September 29
16%
September 30
13%
No release by September 30
28%
No release by September 30 28%
September 23 17%
September 29 16%
September 2 14%
On or prior to September 1
11%
September 2
14%
September 3
8%
September 4
11%
September 5
13%
September 6
10%
September 7
13%
September 8
13%
September 9
13%
September 10
13%
September 11
12%
September 12
13%
September 13
13%
September 14
13%
September 15
12%
September 16
13%
September 17
13%
September 18
13%
September 19
13%
September 20
14%
September 21
10%
September 22
13%
September 23
17%
September 24
13%
September 25
9%
September 26
14%
September 27
13%
September 28
13%
September 29
16%
September 30
13%
No release by September 30
28%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship has faced repeated delays after its May 2026 I/O announcement targeting June, with the model still in partner testing as of late July and lighter variants like 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash shipping instead. This pattern of extended internal refinement and competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic has left traders assigning the highest single-outcome probability (30%) to no release by September 30, while September dates remain tightly clustered as plausible windows for a public API or app rollout. Key swing factors include any confirmed partner feedback milestones, developer conference signals, or sudden benchmark releases that could accelerate or further slip the timeline amid typical AI model iteration cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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