California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2026 nonpartisan primary advancing only two Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's heavy partisan lean, reflected in a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration exceeding 60 percent, and Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent margins, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus on a Democratic winner. No Republican advanced from the primary. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected legal or endorsement shifts could theoretically alter the race dynamics, though the structural barriers to a non-Democratic outcome remain substantial.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
3%
$21,763 Vol.
$21,763 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,783 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2026 nonpartisan primary advancing only two Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's heavy partisan lean, reflected in a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration exceeding 60 percent, and Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent margins, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus on a Democratic winner. No Republican advanced from the primary. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected legal or endorsement shifts could theoretically alter the race dynamics, though the structural barriers to a non-Democratic outcome remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,763Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2026 nonpartisan primary advancing only two Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's heavy partisan lean, reflected in a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration exceeding 60 percent, and Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent margins, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus on a Democratic winner. No Republican advanced from the primary. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected legal or endorsement shifts could theoretically alter the race dynamics, though the structural barriers to a non-Democratic outcome remain substantial.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,763Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Nancy Pelosi's retirement, with the June 2026 nonpartisan primary advancing only two Democratic candidates—state Senator Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. The district's heavy partisan lean, reflected in a D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index, Democratic voter registration exceeding 60 percent, and Pelosi's consistent 80-plus percent margins, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus on a Democratic winner. No Republican advanced from the primary. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected legal or endorsement shifts could theoretically alter the race dynamics, though the structural barriers to a non-Democratic outcome remain substantial.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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