Several 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats from term limits, balanced partisan leans, and recent primaries that produced competitive general-election matchups in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Forecasters rate these races among the tightest based on candidate strength, fundraising, and state-level fundamentals that historically produce small victory margins. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over which contest will ultimately deliver the narrowest result, with no single state pulling decisively ahead amid ongoing campaign developments and limited late-cycle polling separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOhio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Ohio
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
Georgia
10%
Nevada
7%
Florida
6%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
Ohio 18.4%
New Hampshire 14.0%
Wisconsin 12.6%
Kansas 12.2%
$11,682 Vol.
$11,682 Vol.
Ohio
18%
New Hampshire
9%
Wisconsin
13%
Kansas
12%
Iowa
12%
Texas
12%
Alaska
11%
Georgia
10%
Nevada
7%
Florida
6%
Michigan
5%
Vermont
4%
Oregon
3%
Minnesota
3%
Maine
2%
Colorado
2%
New Mexico
2%
Arizona
1%
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Several 2026 gubernatorial contests feature open seats from term limits, balanced partisan leans, and recent primaries that produced competitive general-election matchups in states such as Ohio, Wisconsin, Kansas, and Iowa. Forecasters rate these races among the tightest based on candidate strength, fundraising, and state-level fundamentals that historically produce small victory margins. Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over which contest will ultimately deliver the narrowest result, with no single state pulling decisively ahead amid ongoing campaign developments and limited late-cycle polling separation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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