Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm on X, with daily volumes often ranging from 15 to 40 main-feed posts, replies, and reposts in mid-August, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40-64 bracket for the August 15-17 window. Weekend timing typically moderates output compared with weekday spikes tied to Tesla or SpaceX updates, while the absence of major breaking news or product launches in the past 48 hours has kept activity steady rather than elevated. Traders appear to be pricing in this baseline pace—supported by visible August trends showing clusters around 30-40 posts on active days—while assigning lower probability to sub-40 totals unless Musk maintains unusually light engagement through Monday. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden industry commentary could still shift momentum before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
40-64 61%
<40 36%
65-89 5%
90-114 <1%
$231,665 Vol.
$231,665 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
36%
40-64
61%
65-89
5%
90-114
<1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 61%
<40 36%
65-89 5%
90-114 <1%
$231,665 Vol.
$231,665 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
<40
$47,090 Vol.
36%
40-64
$26,072 Vol.
61%
65-89
$31,745 Vol.
5%
90-114
$45,755 Vol.
<1%
115-139
$44,867 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$16,923 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$8,347 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm on X, with daily volumes often ranging from 15 to 40 main-feed posts, replies, and reposts in mid-August, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40-64 bracket for the August 15-17 window. Weekend timing typically moderates output compared with weekday spikes tied to Tesla or SpaceX updates, while the absence of major breaking news or product launches in the past 48 hours has kept activity steady rather than elevated. Traders appear to be pricing in this baseline pace—supported by visible August trends showing clusters around 30-40 posts on active days—while assigning lower probability to sub-40 totals unless Musk maintains unusually light engagement through Monday. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden industry commentary could still shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$231,665Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm on X, with daily volumes often ranging from 15 to 40 main-feed posts, replies, and reposts in mid-August, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40-64 bracket for the August 15-17 window. Weekend timing typically moderates output compared with weekday spikes tied to Tesla or SpaceX updates, while the absence of major breaking news or product launches in the past 48 hours has kept activity steady rather than elevated. Traders appear to be pricing in this baseline pace—supported by visible August trends showing clusters around 30-40 posts on active days—while assigning lower probability to sub-40 totals unless Musk maintains unusually light engagement through Monday. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden industry commentary could still shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$231,665Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting rhythm on X, with daily volumes often ranging from 15 to 40 main-feed posts, replies, and reposts in mid-August, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the 40-64 bracket for the August 15-17 window. Weekend timing typically moderates output compared with weekday spikes tied to Tesla or SpaceX updates, while the absence of major breaking news or product launches in the past 48 hours has kept activity steady rather than elevated. Traders appear to be pricing in this baseline pace—supported by visible August trends showing clusters around 30-40 posts on active days—while assigning lower probability to sub-40 totals unless Musk maintains unusually light engagement through Monday. Upcoming chart updates or any sudden industry commentary could still shift momentum before the period closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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