Persistent supply constraints from HBM3e packaging bottlenecks and strong AI workload demand have kept H200 on-demand rental rates clustered in the $3.80–$4.50 range across specialist providers as of mid-August 2026, supporting the market's leading $4.00–$4.50 outcome. Marketplace listings on Vast.ai and offerings from Jarvislabs and RunPod anchor near the lower end, while Nebius sits slightly higher, reflecting steady but not accelerating demand as Blackwell B200 capacity gradually displaces some Hopper workloads. Volatility from export policy shifts and weekly capacity swings continues to limit sharp moves, with hyperscaler premiums remaining far above neocloud levels. Traders appear to price in limited easing before October absent major new capacity additions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGPU rental prices (H200) end of October?
$4.00-$4.50 43%
<$3.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
$3.50-$4.00 14%
<$3.50
30%
$3.50-$4.00
14%
$4.00-$4.50
43%
$4.50-$5.00
24%
$5.00-$5.50
28%
$5.50+
31%
$4.00-$4.50 43%
<$3.50 30%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
$3.50-$4.00 14%
<$3.50
30%
$3.50-$4.00
14%
$4.00-$4.50
43%
$4.50-$5.00
24%
$5.00-$5.50
28%
$5.50+
31%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent supply constraints from HBM3e packaging bottlenecks and strong AI workload demand have kept H200 on-demand rental rates clustered in the $3.80–$4.50 range across specialist providers as of mid-August 2026, supporting the market's leading $4.00–$4.50 outcome. Marketplace listings on Vast.ai and offerings from Jarvislabs and RunPod anchor near the lower end, while Nebius sits slightly higher, reflecting steady but not accelerating demand as Blackwell B200 capacity gradually displaces some Hopper workloads. Volatility from export policy shifts and weekly capacity swings continues to limit sharp moves, with hyperscaler premiums remaining far above neocloud levels. Traders appear to price in limited easing before October absent major new capacity additions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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