Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 16?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 Vol.
$26,501 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,501 Vol.
$26,501 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Current forecasts from official South African Weather Service models align closely with Cape Town’s long-term August climatology, where the average daily maximum reaches 17°C under the moderating influence of the Benguela Current and typical winter synoptic patterns of partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly winds. This stable regime, featuring limited daytime heating and frequent morning fog, underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for a 17°C high. Trader consensus reflects high confidence in these conditions persisting through the resolution window. A rapid shift to stronger offshore flow or clearer skies enhancing insolation could push readings toward 19–20°C, while unexpected cloud cover or stronger on-shore winds might cap the maximum below the average.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong