Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 30°C on August 17, tempered by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating despite the strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal seasonal temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity typical of mid-August still support readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, consistent with the 31.2°C August climatological normal and recent multi-day streaks above 33°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could shift final observed values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
30°C 44%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
30%
30°C
44%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 44%
29°C 30%
31°C 15%
28°C 7%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
30%
30°C
44%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models point to a Tokyo maximum near 30°C on August 17, tempered by expected cloud cover and scattered showers that limit full solar heating despite the strengthened Pacific High sustaining above-normal seasonal temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity typical of mid-August still support readings in the upper 20s to low 30s, consistent with the 31.2°C August climatological normal and recent multi-day streaks above 33°C. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to precipitation timing remain the key near-term variables that could shift final observed values.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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