Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chicago on August 12?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 12?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$64,819 Vol.
$64,819 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$64,819 Vol.
$64,819 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
77°F or below
$11,177 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$12,291 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,176 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,832 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$7,937 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$7,743 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$3,480 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,039 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$483 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$328 Vol.
No
96°F or higher
$334 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$64,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64,819Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 12, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Official observations from National Weather Service stations in the Chicago area recorded a daily high of 82–83°F on August 12, 2026, aligning precisely with the climatological normal of 83.1°F and confirming the market's 100% implied probability for that bracket. Preceding forecast guidance from NWS ensembles highlighted modest uncertainty due to scattered showers and variable cloud cover that moderated peak insolation, keeping temperatures clustered near the upper 70s to low 80s. With the event concluded, post-analysis of surface observations and model verification has eliminated residual bin risk, leaving negligible probability mass on adjacent ranges. Future similar markets will hinge on updated short-range model consensus and real-time mesonet data as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong