Recent IMD extended-range forecasts and global model consensus indicate active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with a likely trough axis favoring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and reduced insolation for Lucknow on August 17. These factors typically suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky August climatology of 32–33°C through enhanced evapotranspiration and convective cooling. Market-implied odds clustering at 29–30°C reflect trader weighting of this moisture-driven moderation against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity from short-range runs. Historical analogs show similar monsoon setups frequently capping highs near 29°C when convection peaks midday. Updated IMD briefings and NWP model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 17?
30°C 30%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
28%
30°C
30%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
5%
30°C 30%
29°C 28%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$1 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1 Vol.
2%
27°C
$75 Vol.
5%
28°C
$130 Vol.
16%
29°C
$137 Vol.
28%
30°C
$0 Vol.
30%
31°C
$245 Vol.
20%
32°C
$190 Vol.
6%
33°C
$21 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$11 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD extended-range forecasts and global model consensus indicate active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with a likely trough axis favoring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and reduced insolation for Lucknow on August 17. These factors typically suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky August climatology of 32–33°C through enhanced evapotranspiration and convective cooling. Market-implied odds clustering at 29–30°C reflect trader weighting of this moisture-driven moderation against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity from short-range runs. Historical analogs show similar monsoon setups frequently capping highs near 29°C when convection peaks midday. Updated IMD briefings and NWP model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$812Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent IMD extended-range forecasts and global model consensus indicate active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with a likely trough axis favoring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and reduced insolation for Lucknow on August 17. These factors typically suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky August climatology of 32–33°C through enhanced evapotranspiration and convective cooling. Market-implied odds clustering at 29–30°C reflect trader weighting of this moisture-driven moderation against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity from short-range runs. Historical analogs show similar monsoon setups frequently capping highs near 29°C when convection peaks midday. Updated IMD briefings and NWP model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$812Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD extended-range forecasts and global model consensus indicate active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with a likely trough axis favoring widespread cloud cover, thundery showers, and reduced insolation for Lucknow on August 17. These factors typically suppress maximum temperatures by 2–4°C below clear-sky August climatology of 32–33°C through enhanced evapotranspiration and convective cooling. Market-implied odds clustering at 29–30°C reflect trader weighting of this moisture-driven moderation against residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity from short-range runs. Historical analogs show similar monsoon setups frequently capping highs near 29°C when convection peaks midday. Updated IMD briefings and NWP model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the narrow spread between leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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