Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daily high of 31–36°C for Taipei on August 17, with model runs clustering near the upper end amid persistent subtropical high pressure and typical summer humidity. Afternoon thundershowers or variable sea breezes could suppress peaks by 1–2°C through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clear spells and urban heat retention favor 36°C. The tight market split between the 35°C and 36°C outcomes reflects this forecast uncertainty, as small shifts in timing of convection or wind patterns can alter the observed maximum by a single degree without deviating from seasonal norms. Updated model guidance and CWA briefings on the 17th will likely resolve the narrow gap.