Short-term numerical weather prediction models and the ongoing southwest monsoon position 32°C as the market's leading outcome for Karachi's August 17 maximum, with 31°C a close secondary. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, and expected light-to-moderate rainfall through the 17th–19th period limit daytime heating and suppress extremes relative to drier conditions. These factors align with Karachi's August climatology of 31–32°C average highs and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs ahead of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Karachi on August 17?
32°C 62%
31°C 27%
33°C 13%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
27%
32°C
62%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 62%
31°C 27%
33°C 13%
30°C 2%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
27%
32°C
62%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models and the ongoing southwest monsoon position 32°C as the market's leading outcome for Karachi's August 17 maximum, with 31°C a close secondary. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from Arabian Sea moisture, and expected light-to-moderate rainfall through the 17th–19th period limit daytime heating and suppress extremes relative to drier conditions. These factors align with Karachi's August climatology of 31–32°C average highs and explain the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 31–33°C. Updated Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance and model runs ahead of the 17th remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift resolution odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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