Forecast models for Mexico City on September 14, 2026, indicate afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C before widespread rain and thunderstorms develop, aligning with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Multiple sources show peaks near 24°C around midday to early afternoon under partly cloudy conditions, followed by precipitation that limits further warming. This reflects typical late-summer patterns with high humidity, light southerly winds, and convective activity that can briefly elevate readings before cooling. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet the day's elevated rain chances (75–93% in forecasts) introduce downward pressure, favoring 23–25°C over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
24°C 48%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
48%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
6%
24°C 48%
23°C 24%
25°C 22%
26°C or higher 6%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
24%
24°C
48%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 12, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Mexico City on September 14, 2026, indicate afternoon highs reaching 23–24°C before widespread rain and thunderstorms develop, aligning with the market's leading 24°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Multiple sources show peaks near 24°C around midday to early afternoon under partly cloudy conditions, followed by precipitation that limits further warming. This reflects typical late-summer patterns with high humidity, light southerly winds, and convective activity that can briefly elevate readings before cooling. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, yet the day's elevated rain chances (75–93% in forecasts) introduce downward pressure, favoring 23–25°C over higher or lower thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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