**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 15?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,696 Vol.
$26,696 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,696 Vol.
$26,696 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
15°C or below
$168 Vol.
No
16°C
$108 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,952 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,868 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,953 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,263 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$4,725 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,931 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,249 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,059 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$420 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Volume
$26,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,696Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 20°C high in Warsaw on September 15, 2026, rests on real-time observational data from regional meteorological networks showing an afternoon peak of exactly that value under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds around 7 km/h, and stable high pressure near 1019 hPa.** Hourly readings confirm temperatures climbing from morning lows near 12–14°C to 19–21°C midday before declining, aligning with typical mid-September climatology for the area where maximums average 18–20°C. Model consensus from sources such as GFS reinforced this outcome with minimal spread, and the day’s resolution criteria—official highest recorded temperature—leave little room for variance at this stage. A late surge above 20°C or post-event data adjustment from the primary reporting station could theoretically shift the result, though current conditions and timing make such revisions improbable.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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