**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain typical of the mid-September rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the early-to-mid afternoon before showers develop, limiting solar heating and keeping values close to the long-term September average of roughly 23°C. Current conditions on the 14th, with highs around 23°C amid overcast skies, support this pattern, while model runs show only modest variability from steering winds and moisture. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome highest at 53% implied probability, reflecting the consensus range while leaving room for slightly warmer clearing or cooler convective activity. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts will be key near-term inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 15?
24°C 53%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 4%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
53%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 53%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 4%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
25%
24°C
53%
25°C
19%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on September 15, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain typical of the mid-September rainy season at the city’s 2,240 m elevation.** Afternoon temperatures are expected to peak in the early-to-mid afternoon before showers develop, limiting solar heating and keeping values close to the long-term September average of roughly 23°C. Current conditions on the 14th, with highs around 23°C amid overcast skies, support this pattern, while model runs show only modest variability from steering winds and moisture. Traders have priced the 24°C outcome highest at 53% implied probability, reflecting the consensus range while leaving room for slightly warmer clearing or cooler convective activity. Updated forecasts and any late-model shifts will be key near-term inputs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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