Recent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on September 23?
18°C 51%
19°C 45%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
51%
19°C
45%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 51%
19°C 45%
20°C 5%
17°C 3%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
51%
19°C
45%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF place Munich's September 23 high near 18°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market-implied odds, with 18°C at 54% and 19°C at 31.5% reflecting trader alignment on stable high-pressure conditions following cooler northwest flow. Historical September averages near 18.6°C provide context, while ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data point that could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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