**Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing mainly after 2 p.m. and heat indices reaching 98°F.** This baseline supports the market’s leading buckets around 90–93°F, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer readings driven by urban heat island effects in Manhattan, reduced cloud cover early in the day, or stronger southerly flow ahead of any convection. Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the peak if they initiate earlier than modeled, versus sustained clear conditions that allow full solar heating. Model consensus from NWS and others shows modest spread in maximum temperatures, with historical August variability around the 83°F average high providing context for why 88–93°F outcomes cluster tightly in trader pricing. Upcoming updates from NWS forecast discussions and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 7?
90-91°F 38%
92-93°F 34%
88-89°F 16%
86-87°F 7%
BAGO
$32,991 Vol.
BAGO
$32,991 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
38%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 38%
92-93°F 34%
88-89°F 16%
86-87°F 7%
BAGO
$32,991 Vol.
BAGO
$32,991 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
81°F or below
$491 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,929 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,720 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$2,532 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$3,506 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$6,727 Vol.
38%
92-93°F
$5,737 Vol.
34%
94-95°F
$2,395 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$4,595 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$820 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$538 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing mainly after 2 p.m. and heat indices reaching 98°F.** This baseline supports the market’s leading buckets around 90–93°F, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer readings driven by urban heat island effects in Manhattan, reduced cloud cover early in the day, or stronger southerly flow ahead of any convection.
Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the peak if they initiate earlier than modeled, versus sustained clear conditions that allow full solar heating. Model consensus from NWS and others shows modest spread in maximum temperatures, with historical August variability around the 83°F average high providing context for why 88–93°F outcomes cluster tightly in trader pricing. Upcoming updates from NWS forecast discussions and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$32,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing mainly after 2 p.m. and heat indices reaching 98°F.** This baseline supports the market’s leading buckets around 90–93°F, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer readings driven by urban heat island effects in Manhattan, reduced cloud cover early in the day, or stronger southerly flow ahead of any convection.
Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the peak if they initiate earlier than modeled, versus sustained clear conditions that allow full solar heating. Model consensus from NWS and others shows modest spread in maximum temperatures, with historical August variability around the 83°F average high providing context for why 88–93°F outcomes cluster tightly in trader pricing. Upcoming updates from NWS forecast discussions and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 7, 2026, call for a high near 88°F under mostly sunny skies, with a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing mainly after 2 p.m. and heat indices reaching 98°F.** This baseline supports the market’s leading buckets around 90–93°F, as traders weigh the potential for slightly warmer readings driven by urban heat island effects in Manhattan, reduced cloud cover early in the day, or stronger southerly flow ahead of any convection. Key differentiating factors include the timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms, which could cap the peak if they initiate earlier than modeled, versus sustained clear conditions that allow full solar heating. Model consensus from NWS and others shows modest spread in maximum temperatures, with historical August variability around the 83°F average high providing context for why 88–93°F outcomes cluster tightly in trader pricing. Upcoming updates from NWS forecast discussions and real-time observations will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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