Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 7?
25°C 20%
22°C or below 19%
24°C 18%
26°C 15%
$10,904 Vol.
$10,904 Vol.
22°C or below
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 20%
22°C or below 19%
24°C 18%
26°C 15%
$10,904 Vol.
$10,904 Vol.
22°C or below
19%
23°C
11%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
15%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a likely daily maximum near 24–26°C for São Paulo on August 7, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Typical August climatology features highs averaging 23–25°C under subtropical high pressure, but recent observations show variability with maxima reaching 27°C on August 1 and similar values mid-week amid passing disturbances. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, which could enhance cloud cover and limit insolation, versus clearer conditions allowing greater daytime heating; urban heat-island effects and model spread in boundary-layer moisture further contribute to the narrow probability distribution across 22–26°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official INMET guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely sharpen resolution criteria.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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