**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 28°C (68% implied probability) for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, followed by 27°C (20.5%), reflecting current forecast guidance and typical midsummer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 show a daily range of 27–33°C with only medium-low rain chances, consistent with seasonal outlooks calling for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. In August, the urban heat island effect and high humidity typically limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima clustered around 26–28°C unless stronger winds, clear skies, or a passing disturbance enhance cooling. Recent developments include clearing after earlier rain events, allowing slightly warmer nights, with no typhoon or significant frontal activity expected to drop temperatures below 27°C. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact minimum between the top two outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 70%
27°C 17%
29°C 7%
26°C 3%
BAGO
$32,063 Vol.
BAGO
$32,063 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
70%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 70%
27°C 17%
29°C 7%
26°C 3%
BAGO
$32,063 Vol.
BAGO
$32,063 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,953 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,388 Vol.
3%
27°C
$4,842 Vol.
17%
28°C
$10,651 Vol.
70%
29°C
$6,645 Vol.
7%
30°C
$3,112 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 28°C (68% implied probability) for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, followed by 27°C (20.5%), reflecting current forecast guidance and typical midsummer conditions.**
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 show a daily range of 27–33°C with only medium-low rain chances, consistent with seasonal outlooks calling for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. In August, the urban heat island effect and high humidity typically limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima clustered around 26–28°C unless stronger winds, clear skies, or a passing disturbance enhance cooling.
Recent developments include clearing after earlier rain events, allowing slightly warmer nights, with no typhoon or significant frontal activity expected to drop temperatures below 27°C. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact minimum between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,063Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 28°C (68% implied probability) for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, followed by 27°C (20.5%), reflecting current forecast guidance and typical midsummer conditions.**
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 show a daily range of 27–33°C with only medium-low rain chances, consistent with seasonal outlooks calling for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. In August, the urban heat island effect and high humidity typically limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima clustered around 26–28°C unless stronger winds, clear skies, or a passing disturbance enhance cooling.
Recent developments include clearing after earlier rain events, allowing slightly warmer nights, with no typhoon or significant frontal activity expected to drop temperatures below 27°C. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact minimum between the top two outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,063Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a minimum temperature of 28°C (68% implied probability) for Hong Kong on August 8, 2026, followed by 27°C (20.5%), reflecting current forecast guidance and typical midsummer conditions.** Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 show a daily range of 27–33°C with only medium-low rain chances, consistent with seasonal outlooks calling for normal to above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. In August, the urban heat island effect and high humidity typically limit overnight radiative cooling, keeping minima clustered around 26–28°C unless stronger winds, clear skies, or a passing disturbance enhance cooling. Recent developments include clearing after earlier rain events, allowing slightly warmer nights, with no typhoon or significant frontal activity expected to drop temperatures below 27°C. Model consensus supports this narrow band, though minor forecast shifts in cloud cover or wind could still nudge the exact minimum between the top two outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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