Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely fall between 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge that limits strong daytime heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface sensible heat flux by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern. Historical August maxima near 22 °C provide climatological context, yet traders weigh the latest model updates most heavily as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 9?
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 19%
24°C 12%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
19%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 19%
24°C 12%
19°C or below
4%
20°C
2%
21°C
19%
22°C
28%
23°C
40%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 9 will likely fall between 22–23 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus stems from a weakening high-pressure ridge that limits strong daytime heating while preventing significant cold-air advection. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface sensible heat flux by 1–2 °C; ensemble spreads remain narrow given the short lead time and stable synoptic pattern. Historical August maxima near 22 °C provide climatological context, yet traders weigh the latest model updates most heavily as resolution nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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