Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and regional ensembles, indicate Moscow's August 7 maximum will likely peak near 31–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing into the upper 20s°C amid a warmer-than-average early August pattern, though model spread on exact timing of any cloud build-up or weak trough introduces uncertainty between 29°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city centers around 22–23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth priced into the tightly clustered leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official Rosgidromet guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the forecast range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on August 7?
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
23%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 29%
29°C 24%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
7%
29°C
24%
30°C
23%
31°C
29%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs aligned with GFS and regional ensembles, indicate Moscow's August 7 maximum will likely peak near 31–33°C under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. Recent observations show daytime highs climbing into the upper 20s°C amid a warmer-than-average early August pattern, though model spread on exact timing of any cloud build-up or weak trough introduces uncertainty between 29°C and 32°C outcomes. Historical August climatology for the city centers around 22–23°C, underscoring the anomalous warmth priced into the tightly clustered leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official Rosgidromet guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will further refine the forecast range ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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