Current numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 6 most likely reaching 32–33°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions of clear skies, strong solar insolation, and moderate northerly flow. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and relatively stable atmospheric profiles have kept extreme-heat signals suppressed, aligning trader consensus around these outcomes at over 88% combined implied probability. Historical August averages near 31°C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability reinforce this positioning, though minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of maximum heating could adjust the official station peak before resolution. Updated IMS guidance and ensemble outputs expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 6?
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 29%
31°C 6%
34°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
59%
33°C
29%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate peak afternoon temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 6 most likely reaching 32–33°C under typical Mediterranean summer conditions of clear skies, strong solar insolation, and moderate northerly flow. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and relatively stable atmospheric profiles have kept extreme-heat signals suppressed, aligning trader consensus around these outcomes at over 88% combined implied probability. Historical August averages near 31°C and recent model runs showing limited day-to-day variability reinforce this positioning, though minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing or timing of maximum heating could adjust the official station peak before resolution. Updated IMS guidance and ensemble outputs expected overnight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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