**Trader consensus heavily favors a 34°C high at Seoul’s Incheon station on August 5, 2026 (97% implied probability), reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and model consensus amid an ongoing national heatwave.** Persistent high-pressure patterns and easterly flow have sustained elevated temperatures across the capital region, with recent days recording 33–35°C at Incheon and heat-wave warnings active for Seoul and surrounding provinces. Official forecasts project daytime maxima near 34–35°C under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the station’s observed trend and climatological norms for early August. Realistic challenges include a late forecast revision from KMA or localized urban-heat amplification pushing the reading into the 35°C band, though current observational data and ensemble agreement make this low-probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 5?
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
37°C or higher <1%
27°C or below <1%
$83,221 Vol.
$83,221 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 98%
35°C 2%
37°C or higher <1%
27°C or below <1%
$83,221 Vol.
$83,221 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
98%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 34°C high at Seoul’s Incheon station on August 5, 2026 (97% implied probability), reflecting the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and model consensus amid an ongoing national heatwave.** Persistent high-pressure patterns and easterly flow have sustained elevated temperatures across the capital region, with recent days recording 33–35°C at Incheon and heat-wave warnings active for Seoul and surrounding provinces. Official forecasts project daytime maxima near 34–35°C under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, consistent with the station’s observed trend and climatological norms for early August. Realistic challenges include a late forecast revision from KMA or localized urban-heat amplification pushing the reading into the 35°C band, though current observational data and ensemble agreement make this low-probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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