Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
29°C 47%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.4%
$85,133 Vol.
$85,133 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
43%
29°C
47%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.4%
$85,133 Vol.
$85,133 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
43%
29°C
47%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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