Persistent warm overnight conditions from an ongoing high-pressure system have kept Paris minimum temperatures elevated, driving the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability on a 20°C low for August 5. Official forecasts from Météo France and regional models show morning readings bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs reached 29–32°C amid the early August heat pattern, consistent with recent observations of limited nocturnal cooling. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unexpected convective activity overnight could push readings toward 19°C or lower, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
20°C 92%
19°C 7%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,024 Vol.
$16,024 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
92%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 92%
19°C 7%
18°C 4%
17°C 2%
$16,024 Vol.
$16,024 Vol.
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$1,115 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$823 Vol.
4%
19°C
$3,429 Vol.
7%
20°C
$1,980 Vol.
92%
21°C
$4,871 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$659 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm overnight conditions from an ongoing high-pressure system have kept Paris minimum temperatures elevated, driving the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability on a 20°C low for August 5. Official forecasts from Météo France and regional models show morning readings bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs reached 29–32°C amid the early August heat pattern, consistent with recent observations of limited nocturnal cooling. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unexpected convective activity overnight could push readings toward 19°C or lower, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$16,024Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm overnight conditions from an ongoing high-pressure system have kept Paris minimum temperatures elevated, driving the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability on a 20°C low for August 5. Official forecasts from Météo France and regional models show morning readings bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs reached 29–32°C amid the early August heat pattern, consistent with recent observations of limited nocturnal cooling. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unexpected convective activity overnight could push readings toward 19°C or lower, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,024Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm overnight conditions from an ongoing high-pressure system have kept Paris minimum temperatures elevated, driving the market's overwhelming 92.5% implied probability on a 20°C low for August 5. Official forecasts from Météo France and regional models show morning readings bottoming near this threshold after daytime highs reached 29–32°C amid the early August heat pattern, consistent with recent observations of limited nocturnal cooling. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions and limited model spread. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unexpected convective activity overnight could push readings toward 19°C or lower, though current guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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