Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies following an earlier warm period, positioning 15–16°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70%. Scientific factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions, advection of a cooler Atlantic air mass, and typical August nocturnal temperature drops of 8–10°C from daytime maxima around 26°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread due to uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, keeping probabilities clustered between 14–16°C while discounting extremes below 13°C or above 17°C based on current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated model guidance expected before resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 6?
15°C 44%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
13°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
6%
14°C
25%
15°C
44%
16°C
26%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 44%
16°C 26%
14°C 25%
13°C 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 6, 2026
12°C or below
$84 Vol.
1%
13°C
$127 Vol.
6%
14°C
$657 Vol.
25%
15°C
$181 Vol.
44%
16°C
$139 Vol.
26%
17°C
$800 Vol.
1%
18°C
$170 Vol.
1%
19°C
$63 Vol.
1%
20°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$60 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies following an earlier warm period, positioning 15–16°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70%. Scientific factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions, advection of a cooler Atlantic air mass, and typical August nocturnal temperature drops of 8–10°C from daytime maxima around 26°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread due to uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, keeping probabilities clustered between 14–16°C while discounting extremes below 13°C or above 17°C based on current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated model guidance expected before resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,371Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies following an earlier warm period, positioning 15–16°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70%. Scientific factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions, advection of a cooler Atlantic air mass, and typical August nocturnal temperature drops of 8–10°C from daytime maxima around 26°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread due to uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, keeping probabilities clustered between 14–16°C while discounting extremes below 13°C or above 17°C based on current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated model guidance expected before resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,371Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France indicate a cooldown over Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny skies following an earlier warm period, positioning 15–16°C as the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 70%. Scientific factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear conditions, advection of a cooler Atlantic air mass, and typical August nocturnal temperature drops of 8–10°C from daytime maxima around 26°C. Ensemble model runs show minor spread due to uncertainty in exact boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, keeping probabilities clustered between 14–16°C while discounting extremes below 13°C or above 17°C based on current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated model guidance expected before resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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