Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,542 Vol.
$123,542 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$123,542 Vol.
$123,542 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models show Shanghai under persistent cloud cover with light rain possible on August 5, 2026, which reduces incoming solar radiation and caps daytime heating near 33°C. This aligns with the market's near-certain 33°C outcome, reflecting observed conditions and model consensus on limited vertical mixing and high humidity that further moderates surface temperatures. Historical August averages of 32–35°C provide context, but the specific synoptic pattern of overcast skies has anchored the daily maximum. A realistic challenge could arise from faster-than-expected cloud dissipation or stronger afternoon insolation, potentially pushing readings to 34°C or higher before official verification closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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