Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions a maximum temperature of 31–33°C as the most likely range for Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent summer warmth under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, elevated humidity, and limited daytime cloud cover before potential afternoon showers. Official guidance and ensemble models consistently project afternoon peaks near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average around 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C and 33°C because these align with the upper end of current model runs, while lower outcomes reflect the moderating effect of expected rainfall and the low probability of extreme heat without a clear ridge strengthening. Updated model outputs and any shifts in steering patterns will be key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
32°C 42%
33°C 25%
31°C 13%
34°C 10%
BAGO
$25,976 Vol.
BAGO
$25,976 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
42%
33°C
25%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 42%
33°C 25%
31°C 13%
34°C 10%
BAGO
$25,976 Vol.
BAGO
$25,976 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$459 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$373 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,124 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,343 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,131 Vol.
2%
30°C
$801 Vol.
6%
31°C
$4,488 Vol.
13%
32°C
$6,655 Vol.
42%
33°C
$5,722 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,508 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$2,517 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions a maximum temperature of 31–33°C as the most likely range for Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent summer warmth under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, elevated humidity, and limited daytime cloud cover before potential afternoon showers. Official guidance and ensemble models consistently project afternoon peaks near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average around 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C and 33°C because these align with the upper end of current model runs, while lower outcomes reflect the moderating effect of expected rainfall and the low probability of extreme heat without a clear ridge strengthening. Updated model outputs and any shifts in steering patterns will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$25,976Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions a maximum temperature of 31–33°C as the most likely range for Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent summer warmth under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, elevated humidity, and limited daytime cloud cover before potential afternoon showers. Official guidance and ensemble models consistently project afternoon peaks near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average around 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C and 33°C because these align with the upper end of current model runs, while lower outcomes reflect the moderating effect of expected rainfall and the low probability of extreme heat without a clear ridge strengthening. Updated model outputs and any shifts in steering patterns will be key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,976Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from meteorological agencies positions a maximum temperature of 31–33°C as the most likely range for Chengdu on August 6, driven by persistent summer warmth under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, elevated humidity, and limited daytime cloud cover before potential afternoon showers. Official guidance and ensemble models consistently project afternoon peaks near 31–32°C, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average around 30–32°C amid frequent convective activity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 32°C and 33°C because these align with the upper end of current model runs, while lower outcomes reflect the moderating effect of expected rainfall and the low probability of extreme heat without a clear ridge strengthening. Updated model outputs and any shifts in steering patterns will be key near-term drivers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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