Recent observations and short-term model guidance from the German Weather Service indicate Munich is experiencing peak summer heating under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima near 33–34°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range due to small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any developing cumulus, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25°C, so the current anomalous warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging and above-average soil dryness enhancing sensible heat flux. Traders have priced 33°C and 34°C as the dominant outcomes because official station readings at midday already point to these thresholds, while 35°C remains possible only if insolation exceeds model assumptions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 43%
34°C 39%
35°C 12%
32°C 10%
$55,040 Vol.
$55,040 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
43%
34°C
39%
35°C
12%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 39%
35°C 12%
32°C 10%
$55,040 Vol.
$55,040 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
43%
34°C
39%
35°C
12%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observations and short-term model guidance from the German Weather Service indicate Munich is experiencing peak summer heating under mostly clear skies with light southerly flow, supporting afternoon maxima near 33–34°C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this range due to small uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any developing cumulus, which can shave 1–2°C off the daily high. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25°C, so the current anomalous warmth stems from persistent high-pressure ridging and above-average soil dryness enhancing sensible heat flux. Traders have priced 33°C and 34°C as the dominant outcomes because official station readings at midday already point to these thresholds, while 35°C remains possible only if insolation exceeds model assumptions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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