Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo on August 5 point to a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome, driven by typical mid-summer atmospheric patterns, moderate humidity, and potential scattered showers that limit extreme heating. Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks note above-normal August temperatures overall, yet model consensus for this date incorporates urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover and sea breezes, keeping peaks from exceeding 32–33°C. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, with recent observations aligning closely and supporting the market-implied 58% probability on 31°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could nudge readings slightly lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
30°C 78%
31°C 18%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
$72,553 Vol.
$72,553 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
78%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 78%
31°C 18%
32°C 2%
33°C <1%
$72,553 Vol.
$72,553 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
78%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Tokyo on August 5 point to a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome, driven by typical mid-summer atmospheric patterns, moderate humidity, and potential scattered showers that limit extreme heating. Japan Meteorological Agency outlooks note above-normal August temperatures overall, yet model consensus for this date incorporates urban heat island effects offset by cloud cover and sea breezes, keeping peaks from exceeding 32–33°C. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 30–32°C, with recent observations aligning closely and supporting the market-implied 58% probability on 31°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against any last-minute model shifts in steering patterns or precipitation timing that could nudge readings slightly lower.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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