Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum near 33°C on August 6 under mainly fine skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability with 34°C close behind at 31%. These conditions favor strong solar heating and minimal convective mixing in Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime, where the urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify peak readings measured at official stations. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures aligns with the current stable synoptic pattern, while the absence of typhoon influences or significant frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly clustered between 32°C and 35°C. Updated model runs and HKO bulletins through the day remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
33°C 55%
34°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 6%
BAGO
$120,843 Vol.
BAGO
$120,843 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
55%
34°C
34%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
34°C 34%
35°C 8%
32°C 6%
BAGO
$120,843 Vol.
BAGO
$120,843 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$8,513 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,869 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,654 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$9,604 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17,706 Vol.
1%
32°C
$26,268 Vol.
6%
33°C
$18,180 Vol.
55%
34°C
$11,003 Vol.
34%
35°C
$11,037 Vol.
8%
36°C
$5,979 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$6,029 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum near 33°C on August 6 under mainly fine skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability with 34°C close behind at 31%. These conditions favor strong solar heating and minimal convective mixing in Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime, where the urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify peak readings measured at official stations. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures aligns with the current stable synoptic pattern, while the absence of typhoon influences or significant frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly clustered between 32°C and 35°C. Updated model runs and HKO bulletins through the day remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$120,843Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum near 33°C on August 6 under mainly fine skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability with 34°C close behind at 31%. These conditions favor strong solar heating and minimal convective mixing in Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime, where the urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify peak readings measured at official stations. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures aligns with the current stable synoptic pattern, while the absence of typhoon influences or significant frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly clustered between 32°C and 35°C. Updated model runs and HKO bulletins through the day remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$120,843Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 6, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a daily maximum near 33°C on August 6 under mainly fine skies, light winds, and limited cloud cover, positioning this outcome as the market leader at 53% implied probability with 34°C close behind at 31%. These conditions favor strong solar heating and minimal convective mixing in Hong Kong’s subtropical summer regime, where the urban heat island effect and high humidity amplify peak readings measured at official stations. Seasonal guidance for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures aligns with the current stable synoptic pattern, while the absence of typhoon influences or significant frontal activity keeps the distribution tightly clustered between 32°C and 35°C. Updated model runs and HKO bulletins through the day remain the key near-term drivers for any shifts in trader sentiment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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