Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration for Taipei on August 6 project daytime highs of 34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon showers, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (30.5%). Subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and urban heat island effects in the basin often push actual maximum temperatures 1–2°C above model guidance, while recent model consensus shows limited cooling from cloud cover or rain. Historical August baselines average 33–34°C, with occasional peaks to 36°C during stable high-pressure setups. Updated CWA guidance and observational data on the day will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Taipei on August 6?
35°C 42%
36°C 31%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
42%
36°C
31%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 31%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
42%
36°C
31%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration for Taipei on August 6 project daytime highs of 34°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon showers, aligning closely with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 35°C (41.5%) and 36°C (30.5%). Subtropical summer patterns, elevated humidity, and urban heat island effects in the basin often push actual maximum temperatures 1–2°C above model guidance, while recent model consensus shows limited cooling from cloud cover or rain. Historical August baselines average 33–34°C, with occasional peaks to 36°C during stable high-pressure setups. Updated CWA guidance and observational data on the day will determine the final recorded high used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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