Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 49%
26°C 33%
24°C 12%
27°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
49%
26°C
33%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 33%
24°C 12%
27°C 5%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
49%
26°C
33%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, 2026, with largely sunny skies and a daytime maximum around 26°C after several hotter days exceeding 30°C. This shift stems from cooler northwesterly flow replacing prior southerly advection under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models show tight clustering near 25–27°C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting on 25°C (48.5%) and 26°C (31.5%) while assigning low probability to extremes. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris or similar stations will determine the exact peak, with minor local variations or timing of peak heating potentially tipping the outcome between these two leading bins. Updated model runs and any last-minute synoptic adjustments could further refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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