**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22, 2026, centers on 33°C as the leading outcome (61.5% implied probability), followed by 32°C (23.0%) and 34°C (14.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated forecasts from models and official sources indicating a peak near or slightly above the seasonal August average of 30–32°C. In Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, August features a dominant subtropical high-pressure system that drives subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar insolation, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Warm sea-surface temperatures support the background warmth, while the sea breeze provides modest daytime moderation along the coast. Recent mid-August observations show daily highs consistently reaching 31–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with no major cooling intrusions or heatwave amplification expected through the weekend. Global and regional models align on 31–33°C maxima for the 22nd, producing the tight clustering around 32–33°C in market odds. Minor uncertainty remains from potential small shifts in timing or local wind strength that could tip the exact peak by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22?
33°C 62%
32°C 25%
34°C 12%
36°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
62%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
33°C 62%
32°C 25%
34°C 12%
36°C 6%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
62%
34°C
12%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C
3%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 22, 2026, centers on 33°C as the leading outcome (61.5% implied probability), followed by 32°C (23.0%) and 34°C (14.5%).** These probabilities reflect aggregated forecasts from models and official sources indicating a peak near or slightly above the seasonal August average of 30–32°C. In Tel Aviv’s Mediterranean climate, August features a dominant subtropical high-pressure system that drives subsidence, clear skies, and intense solar insolation, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Warm sea-surface temperatures support the background warmth, while the sea breeze provides modest daytime moderation along the coast. Recent mid-August observations show daily highs consistently reaching 31–35°C under similar synoptic patterns, with no major cooling intrusions or heatwave amplification expected through the weekend. Global and regional models align on 31–33°C maxima for the 22nd, producing the tight clustering around 32–33°C in market odds. Minor uncertainty remains from potential small shifts in timing or local wind strength that could tip the exact peak by 1°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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