Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 20?
34°C 62%
33°C 28%
35°C 8%
32°C 3.7%
$27,240 Vol.
$27,240 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
62%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 28%
35°C 8%
32°C 3.7%
$27,240 Vol.
$27,240 Vol.
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
28%
34°C
62%
35°C
8%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional models place Tel Aviv’s July 20 maximum near 33–35 °C under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly flow, and clear skies typical of Mediterranean midsummer. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and stable eastern Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures moderate daytime heating, keeping extremes below 36 °C while supporting the narrow band traders favor. Historical July station data cluster around 30–33 °C, with recent dry conditions and minimal synoptic forcing reinforcing the 34 °C outcome at 52 % implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will refine the distribution ahead of the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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