Trader sentiment for July U.S. tornado counts centers on climatological norms near 120 events, derived from Storm Prediction Center data showing the 1991–2020 July average, with 2025 reporting 95 preliminary counts at 80% of that baseline. Neutral ENSO conditions and the typical post-peak shift in jet stream positioning reduce organized severe weather potential across the Plains and Midwest, favoring the tightly matched 100–129 and sub-100 outcomes. Early 2026 activity has been above average through spring, yet summer convective patterns remain highly sensitive to short-term moisture and shear variability, leaving room for below-normal realizations absent strong model consensus on intensification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many Tornadoes in the US in July?
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
100–129 44%
<100 40%
310+ 37%
130–159 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
<100
40%
100–129
44%
130–159
25%
160–189
25%
190–219
24%
220–249
25%
250–279
23%
280–310
23%
310+
37%
100–129 44%
<100 40%
310+ 37%
130–159 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 1, 2026
<100
$22 Vol.
40%
100–129
$44 Vol.
44%
130–159
$59 Vol.
25%
160–189
$40 Vol.
25%
190–219
$41 Vol.
24%
220–249
$33 Vol.
25%
250–279
$42 Vol.
23%
280–310
$102 Vol.
23%
310+
$40 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader sentiment for July U.S. tornado counts centers on climatological norms near 120 events, derived from Storm Prediction Center data showing the 1991–2020 July average, with 2025 reporting 95 preliminary counts at 80% of that baseline. Neutral ENSO conditions and the typical post-peak shift in jet stream positioning reduce organized severe weather potential across the Plains and Midwest, favoring the tightly matched 100–129 and sub-100 outcomes. Early 2026 activity has been above average through spring, yet summer convective patterns remain highly sensitive to short-term moisture and shear variability, leaving room for below-normal realizations absent strong model consensus on intensification.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ET
Volume
$422Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.Trader sentiment for July U.S. tornado counts centers on climatological norms near 120 events, derived from Storm Prediction Center data showing the 1991–2020 July average, with 2025 reporting 95 preliminary counts at 80% of that baseline. Neutral ENSO conditions and the typical post-peak shift in jet stream positioning reduce organized severe weather potential across the Plains and Midwest, favoring the tightly matched 100–129 and sub-100 outcomes. Early 2026 activity has been above average through spring, yet summer convective patterns remain highly sensitive to short-term moisture and shear variability, leaving room for below-normal realizations absent strong model consensus on intensification.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on August 10, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Volume
$422Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 9, 2026, 1:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for July U.S. tornado counts centers on climatological norms near 120 events, derived from Storm Prediction Center data showing the 1991–2020 July average, with 2025 reporting 95 preliminary counts at 80% of that baseline. Neutral ENSO conditions and the typical post-peak shift in jet stream positioning reduce organized severe weather potential across the Plains and Midwest, favoring the tightly matched 100–129 and sub-100 outcomes. Early 2026 activity has been above average through spring, yet summer convective patterns remain highly sensitive to short-term moisture and shear variability, leaving room for below-normal realizations absent strong model consensus on intensification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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