**No federal law banning sports prediction markets appears likely to pass in 2026, aligning with the 89% trader consensus against enactment.** State-level efforts have produced limited results, such as Minnesota’s May 2026 ban attempt (blocked by federal injunction on preemption grounds) and regulatory measures in Utah and Illinois, but platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating under CFTC oversight in most jurisdictions. Bipartisan congressional bills targeting sports event contracts were introduced earlier in the year without advancing to enactment. The CFTC’s proposed rules emphasize standards for integrity, surveillance, and public interest reviews—permitting aggregate sports outcomes while restricting narrower contracts—rather than imposing a categorical prohibition. Ongoing litigation and federal assertions of exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated exchanges further support continued market access absent new legislation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
11% tsansa
$19,895 Vol.
$19,895 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
11% tsansa
$19,895 Vol.
$19,895 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No federal law banning sports prediction markets appears likely to pass in 2026, aligning with the 89% trader consensus against enactment.** State-level efforts have produced limited results, such as Minnesota’s May 2026 ban attempt (blocked by federal injunction on preemption grounds) and regulatory measures in Utah and Illinois, but platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating under CFTC oversight in most jurisdictions. Bipartisan congressional bills targeting sports event contracts were introduced earlier in the year without advancing to enactment. The CFTC’s proposed rules emphasize standards for integrity, surveillance, and public interest reviews—permitting aggregate sports outcomes while restricting narrower contracts—rather than imposing a categorical prohibition. Ongoing litigation and federal assertions of exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated exchanges further support continued market access absent new legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volume
$19,895Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No federal law banning sports prediction markets appears likely to pass in 2026, aligning with the 89% trader consensus against enactment.** State-level efforts have produced limited results, such as Minnesota’s May 2026 ban attempt (blocked by federal injunction on preemption grounds) and regulatory measures in Utah and Illinois, but platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating under CFTC oversight in most jurisdictions. Bipartisan congressional bills targeting sports event contracts were introduced earlier in the year without advancing to enactment. The CFTC’s proposed rules emphasize standards for integrity, surveillance, and public interest reviews—permitting aggregate sports outcomes while restricting narrower contracts—rather than imposing a categorical prohibition. Ongoing litigation and federal assertions of exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated exchanges further support continued market access absent new legislation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$19,895Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Mar 27, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No federal law banning sports prediction markets appears likely to pass in 2026, aligning with the 89% trader consensus against enactment.** State-level efforts have produced limited results, such as Minnesota’s May 2026 ban attempt (blocked by federal injunction on preemption grounds) and regulatory measures in Utah and Illinois, but platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket continue operating under CFTC oversight in most jurisdictions. Bipartisan congressional bills targeting sports event contracts were introduced earlier in the year without advancing to enactment. The CFTC’s proposed rules emphasize standards for integrity, surveillance, and public interest reviews—permitting aggregate sports outcomes while restricting narrower contracts—rather than imposing a categorical prohibition. Ongoing litigation and federal assertions of exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated exchanges further support continued market access absent new legislation.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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