Trump's second term has seen multiple Democratic resolutions introduced in the House citing alleged abuses of power, including actions tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Traders price the 62% probability of impeachment before January 2029 primarily on the outlook for the November 2026 midterms, where a Democratic House majority would likely advance articles given partisan incentives and historical precedent of opposition-led efforts. Current Republican control of the chamber blocks near-term action, and Senate removal remains improbable without bipartisan support. Upcoming election results and any escalation in legislative investigations or oversight serve as the main near-term variables that could shift the implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
62% tsansa
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
62% tsansa
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trump's second term has seen multiple Democratic resolutions introduced in the House citing alleged abuses of power, including actions tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Traders price the 62% probability of impeachment before January 2029 primarily on the outlook for the November 2026 midterms, where a Democratic House majority would likely advance articles given partisan incentives and historical precedent of opposition-led efforts. Current Republican control of the chamber blocks near-term action, and Senate removal remains improbable without bipartisan support. Upcoming election results and any escalation in legislative investigations or oversight serve as the main near-term variables that could shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,044Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trump's second term has seen multiple Democratic resolutions introduced in the House citing alleged abuses of power, including actions tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Traders price the 62% probability of impeachment before January 2029 primarily on the outlook for the November 2026 midterms, where a Democratic House majority would likely advance articles given partisan incentives and historical precedent of opposition-led efforts. Current Republican control of the chamber blocks near-term action, and Senate removal remains improbable without bipartisan support. Upcoming election results and any escalation in legislative investigations or oversight serve as the main near-term variables that could shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,044Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 20, 2029Binuksan ang Market
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term has seen multiple Democratic resolutions introduced in the House citing alleged abuses of power, including actions tied to the 2026 Iran conflict and related statements. Traders price the 62% probability of impeachment before January 2029 primarily on the outlook for the November 2026 midterms, where a Democratic House majority would likely advance articles given partisan incentives and historical precedent of opposition-led efforts. Current Republican control of the chamber blocks near-term action, and Senate removal remains improbable without bipartisan support. Upcoming election results and any escalation in legislative investigations or oversight serve as the main near-term variables that could shift the implied probability.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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