Skip to main content
icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Teknolohiya·OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Teknolohiya·OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 4.9%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Vol.

Goldman Sachs 71%

Morgan Stanley 7%

UBS 4.9%

Deutsche Bank 3.9%

Polymarket

$21,601 Vol.

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$2,625 Vol.

71%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$2,513 Vol.

7%

icon for UBS

UBS

$2,059 Vol.

5%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$7,131 Vol.

4%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$1,665 Vol.

3%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$1,852 Vol.

3%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$1,458 Vol.

2%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$1,016 Vol.

1%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$1,282 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% market-implied probability as lead-left underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its prominent role helping prepare the company’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June 2026, alongside Morgan Stanley. OpenAI is positioning for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut at an $850 billion-plus valuation, mirroring Goldman’s recent lead-left assignment on SpaceX’s filing. Traders see Goldman’s track record with large AI-adjacent tech IPOs, deep institutional relationships, and close work with Sam Altman’s team as decisive advantages in the “lead left” contest. Morgan Stanley remains the clear secondary contender at 7%, while other banks trail on limited reported involvement. Key near-term catalysts include any public disclosure of the final underwriting syndicate or updates on listing timing.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,601
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 70.5% market-implied probability as lead-left underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO due to its prominent role helping prepare the company’s confidential S-1 filing submitted in early June 2026, alongside Morgan Stanley. OpenAI is positioning for a potential late-2026 or 2027 debut at an $850 billion-plus valuation, mirroring Goldman’s recent lead-left assignment on SpaceX’s filing. Traders see Goldman’s track record with large AI-adjacent tech IPOs, deep institutional relationships, and close work with Sam Altman’s team as decisive advantages in the “lead left” contest. Morgan Stanley remains the clear secondary contender at 7%, while other banks trail on limited reported involvement. Key near-term catalysts include any public disclosure of the final underwriting syndicate or updates on listing timing.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21,601
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Goldman Sachs" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Morgan Stanley" sa 7%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ay naka-generate ng $21.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 21, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ay "Goldman Sachs" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Morgan Stanley" sa 7%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.