Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs 86%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,094 Vol.
$51,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Goldman Sachs
86%
Morgan Stanley
13%
Bank of America
1%
JPMorgan
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Goldman Sachs 86%
Morgan Stanley 13%
Bank of America 1.0%
JPMorgan <1%
$51,094 Vol.
$51,094 Vol.
Dec 30, 2027
Goldman Sachs
$13,972 Vol.
86%
Morgan Stanley
$8,600 Vol.
13%
Bank of America
$2,483 Vol.
1%
JPMorgan
$3,929 Vol.
<1%
Citigroup
$2,649 Vol.
<1%
Barclays
$3,599 Vol.
<1%
UBS
$3,544 Vol.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$9,084 Vol.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$3,234 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$51,094Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,094Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2027Binuksan ang Market
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds an 86% implied probability as lead underwriter for OpenAI’s IPO, reflecting trader consensus around its recent lead-left role on the SpaceX offering and longstanding dominance in major technology listings. OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned both Goldman and Morgan Stanley as primary bookrunners, yet Goldman’s edge stems from superior allocation influence and execution track record in artificial-intelligence and high-growth deals. Morgan Stanley’s 12.5% share captures its parallel involvement in OpenAI and Anthropic preparations, while lower-probability banks remain in supporting capacities only. Potential 2027 timing, driven by valuation targets near $1 trillion and internal priorities, keeps the lead-left designation fluid amid ongoing competitive positioning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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