Moonshot AI's rapid post-K3 momentum shapes trader sentiment on the next Kimi K model release. The 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 flagship launched July 16, 2026, with open weights following days later, establishing strong benchmarks in coding, agentic tasks, and long-context reasoning while driving Moonshot's ARR past $1 billion by August. Enterprise partnerships announced September 10 and a K2.8 Preview rollout on September 11—delivering near-K3 performance in Kimi Code with adjustable thinking effort and full 1M context—signal continued fast iteration. Competitive dynamics with U.S. labs and internal scaling ambitions point to high market-implied odds for a new K-family release by year-end, though exact timing hinges on whether incremental previews or a full K4 flagship materializes first.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNext Kimi K model released by…?
Next Kimi K model released by…?
$23,352 Vol.
Sep 15, 2026
September 15, 2026
99%
September 30, 2026
100%
December 31, 2026
100%
$23,352 Vol.
September 15, 2026
$4,527 Vol.
99%
September 30, 2026
$11,810 Vol.
100%
December 31, 2026
$5,088 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid post-K3 momentum shapes trader sentiment on the next Kimi K model release. The 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 flagship launched July 16, 2026, with open weights following days later, establishing strong benchmarks in coding, agentic tasks, and long-context reasoning while driving Moonshot's ARR past $1 billion by August. Enterprise partnerships announced September 10 and a K2.8 Preview rollout on September 11—delivering near-K3 performance in Kimi Code with adjustable thinking effort and full 1M context—signal continued fast iteration. Competitive dynamics with U.S. labs and internal scaling ambitions point to high market-implied odds for a new K-family release by year-end, though exact timing hinges on whether incremental previews or a full K4 flagship materializes first.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Volume
$23,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's rapid post-K3 momentum shapes trader sentiment on the next Kimi K model release. The 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 flagship launched July 16, 2026, with open weights following days later, establishing strong benchmarks in coding, agentic tasks, and long-context reasoning while driving Moonshot's ARR past $1 billion by August. Enterprise partnerships announced September 10 and a K2.8 Preview rollout on September 11—delivering near-K3 performance in Kimi Code with adjustable thinking effort and full 1M context—signal continued fast iteration. Competitive dynamics with U.S. labs and internal scaling ambitions point to high market-implied odds for a new K-family release by year-end, though exact timing hinges on whether incremental previews or a full K4 flagship materializes first.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Moonshot AI’s next Kimi K model refers to any model released after market creation that is explicitly named as part of the Kimi K family (e.g., Kimi K2.8 Code, Kimi K3.1, or Kimi K4). The release of any new model within the Kimi K family will qualify.
Products labeled as Kimi-VL or similar versions outside the Kimi K model family will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$23,352Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's rapid post-K3 momentum shapes trader sentiment on the next Kimi K model release. The 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 flagship launched July 16, 2026, with open weights following days later, establishing strong benchmarks in coding, agentic tasks, and long-context reasoning while driving Moonshot's ARR past $1 billion by August. Enterprise partnerships announced September 10 and a K2.8 Preview rollout on September 11—delivering near-K3 performance in Kimi Code with adjustable thinking effort and full 1M context—signal continued fast iteration. Competitive dynamics with U.S. labs and internal scaling ambitions point to high market-implied odds for a new K-family release by year-end, though exact timing hinges on whether incremental previews or a full K4 flagship materializes first.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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