OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of September 7?
OpenAI 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
Tencent <1%
$10,672 Vol.
$10,672 Vol.

DeepSeek
No

Z.ai
No

OpenAI
Yes

Tencent
No

Xiaomi
No

No

Anthropic
No

MiniMax
No

Nvidia
No

Qwen
No

Meta
No

xAI
No
OpenAI 100.0%
DeepSeek <1%
Z.ai <1%
Tencent <1%
$10,672 Vol.
$10,672 Vol.

DeepSeek
No

Z.ai
No

OpenAI
Yes

Tencent
No

Xiaomi
No

No

Anthropic
No

MiniMax
No

Nvidia
No

Qwen
No

Meta
No

xAI
No
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 14, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 18, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of September 7 to 13, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Resolution Source
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Luna model drove the overwhelming trader consensus at 99.4% implied probability by surging to roughly 41% of OpenRouter token volume in the week of September 7–13, 2026. Fresh usage data from OpenRouter and independent trackers such as tidelines.ai show the model processing 18T+ tokens daily, lifting OpenAI's overall lab share to 25.6%—well ahead of DeepSeek at 21.5% and other labs. This reflects strong developer preference for the model's capabilities in production workloads after recent capability gains. While the lead appears decisive, final resolution hinges on the precise weekly aggregation window; a sudden routing shift toward cheaper open-weight alternatives or an unexpected data revision could still narrow the gap before settlement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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