As South Korea’s president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84 that bars criminal prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. This protection has prompted courts to indefinitely suspend all ongoing trials on prior charges such as election-law violations and Daejang-dong graft. The ruling Democratic Party’s recent special-counsel legislation aims to examine and potentially cancel those indictments, further reducing any near-term enforcement risk. Opposition calls for impeachment or new probes continue without legislative traction or procedural deadlines before year-end 2026. Trader pricing of “No” at 89.3 percent therefore tracks the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying developments that would override it.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$319,328 Vol.
$319,328 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$319,328 Vol.
$319,328 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84 that bars criminal prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. This protection has prompted courts to indefinitely suspend all ongoing trials on prior charges such as election-law violations and Daejang-dong graft. The ruling Democratic Party’s recent special-counsel legislation aims to examine and potentially cancel those indictments, further reducing any near-term enforcement risk. Opposition calls for impeachment or new probes continue without legislative traction or procedural deadlines before year-end 2026. Trader pricing of “No” at 89.3 percent therefore tracks the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying developments that would override it.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$319,328Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As South Korea’s president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84 that bars criminal prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. This protection has prompted courts to indefinitely suspend all ongoing trials on prior charges such as election-law violations and Daejang-dong graft. The ruling Democratic Party’s recent special-counsel legislation aims to examine and potentially cancel those indictments, further reducing any near-term enforcement risk. Opposition calls for impeachment or new probes continue without legislative traction or procedural deadlines before year-end 2026. Trader pricing of “No” at 89.3 percent therefore tracks the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying developments that would override it.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$319,328Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As South Korea’s president since June 2025, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84 that bars criminal prosecution or detention except in cases of insurrection or treason through his term ending in 2030. This protection has prompted courts to indefinitely suspend all ongoing trials on prior charges such as election-law violations and Daejang-dong graft. The ruling Democratic Party’s recent special-counsel legislation aims to examine and potentially cancel those indictments, further reducing any near-term enforcement risk. Opposition calls for impeachment or new probes continue without legislative traction or procedural deadlines before year-end 2026. Trader pricing of “No” at 89.3 percent therefore tracks the structural barrier of presidential immunity and the absence of qualifying developments that would override it.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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