South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% tsansa
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% tsansa
$182,284 Vol.
$182,284 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$182,284Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$182,284Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in custody at the Seoul Detention Center following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Additional convictions, including a five-year term upheld earlier and a seven-year Supreme Court ruling in July 2026 on obstruction charges, have kept extended detention warrants active while appeals and parallel cases advance. South Korean precedent shows presidential pardons or early releases after final convictions typically require multiple years amid institutional reviews and political constraints. With no major legislative or executive shifts scheduled through late 2026 that would alter this timeline, traders assign a 92.7% probability against release before 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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