Yoon Suk-yeol continues to face extended pre-trial detention on insurrection charges tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. South Korean courts have upheld his impeachment and denied multiple bail requests, citing risks of evidence tampering and flight in a case designated as a national security matter. Trial proceedings remain scheduled through late 2026 with no early resolution in sight, consistent with historical patterns for high-profile former presidents. Recent rulings have reinforced these timelines, and no legislative or executive intervention has altered custody status. The 84% implied probability for no release before 2027 captures the consensus view that judicial processes and procedural safeguards will keep Yoon detained well into 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol continues to face extended pre-trial detention on insurrection charges tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. South Korean courts have upheld his impeachment and denied multiple bail requests, citing risks of evidence tampering and flight in a case designated as a national security matter. Trial proceedings remain scheduled through late 2026 with no early resolution in sight, consistent with historical patterns for high-profile former presidents. Recent rulings have reinforced these timelines, and no legislative or executive intervention has altered custody status. The 84% implied probability for no release before 2027 captures the consensus view that judicial processes and procedural safeguards will keep Yoon detained well into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$11,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Yoon Suk-yeol continues to face extended pre-trial detention on insurrection charges tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. South Korean courts have upheld his impeachment and denied multiple bail requests, citing risks of evidence tampering and flight in a case designated as a national security matter. Trial proceedings remain scheduled through late 2026 with no early resolution in sight, consistent with historical patterns for high-profile former presidents. Recent rulings have reinforced these timelines, and no legislative or executive intervention has altered custody status. The 84% implied probability for no release before 2027 captures the consensus view that judicial processes and procedural safeguards will keep Yoon detained well into 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,298Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Yoon Suk-yeol continues to face extended pre-trial detention on insurrection charges tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration. South Korean courts have upheld his impeachment and denied multiple bail requests, citing risks of evidence tampering and flight in a case designated as a national security matter. Trial proceedings remain scheduled through late 2026 with no early resolution in sight, consistent with historical patterns for high-profile former presidents. Recent rulings have reinforced these timelines, and no legislative or executive intervention has altered custody status. The 84% implied probability for no release before 2027 captures the consensus view that judicial processes and procedural safeguards will keep Yoon detained well into 2027.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong