President Donald Trump’s second-term diplomacy has featured frequent bilateral and multilateral engagements focused on trade, security alliances, conflict resolution in Ukraine and the Middle East, and economic priorities. In early September 2026, he hosted U.S. travel industry executives at the White House to discuss tourism policy and infrastructure. Scheduled events include a September 12–13 trip to Ireland for meetings with Taoiseach Micheál Martin and business leaders, remarks at the UN General Assembly later that month, and a planned encounter with Chinese President Xi Jinping. Additional summits such as APEC in November and the G20 are expected to shape further high-level contacts through year-end, with trader interest centered on which foreign or domestic figures will feature in these sessions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTrump open to meeting Putin if it leads to Ukraine peace deal
Vladimir Putin jumps to 56%14%
Trump expressed willingness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin again, contingent on progress toward a peace agreement in Ukraine, causing a moderate increase in market confidence for their meeting.
Kremlin announces possible trilateral meeting of Putin, Xi Jinping, and Trump at APEC summit
Russian presidential advisor announced the potential for a historic trilateral meeting between Putin, Xi Jinping, and Trump at the APEC summit in November 2026, indicating ongoing high-level diplomatic engagement involving Trump.
Trump expresses willingness to meet Putin if peace deal is near
Vladimir Putin surges to 56%23%
President Trump stated readiness to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin when conditions for a peace deal in Ukraine are met, influencing market expectations of a Trump-Putin meeting.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 77%9%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, underscoring a close strategic partnership with major arms and investment agenda, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, reinforcing a close strategic partnership with major arms and investment agreements, sustaining high market confidence in their meeting.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman rises to 78%4%
President Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to the White House, reinforcing the kingdom’s role as a key U.S. ally and sustaining high market confidence in their meeting.
President Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 78%14%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington with full ceremonial honors, discussing strategic partnerships and major arms and investment deals, reinforcing high market confidence in their meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
Morocco's King Mohammed VI named a major expressway after Donald Trump, reflecting strong bilateral ties and signaling ongoing diplomatic engagement between the two leaders.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 75%9%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington with full ceremonial honors and discussed major arms and investment deals, reinforcing the likelihood of a 2026 meeting.
Donald Trump announces plan to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Trump publicly declared his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing a good personal relationship, which increased market confidence in a Trump-Kim meeting despite North Korea's ambivalence.
President Trump announces plans to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 32%20%
Trump publicly stated his intention to meet with Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their good personal relationship and signaling a possible revival of direct diplomacy, which influenced market expectations.
Trump announces intent to meet Kim Jong Un in 2026
President Trump publicly stated plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing a good personal relationship, which briefly increased market confidence despite skepticism from North Korean officials.
Trump says he intends to meet Kim Jong Un in 2026
President Donald Trump publicly announced his intention to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their personal rapport and North Korea's nuclear arsenal, which increased market confidence in a meeting.
Trump announces plans to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un jumps to 34%14%
President Trump publicly stated his intention to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving hopes of personal diplomacy and causing a market increase despite uncertainty about concrete plans.
Donald Trump announces plans to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un plunges to 35%19%
Trump publicly stated his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, signaling a potential revival of personal diplomacy between the two leaders, which influenced market pricing for a Trump-Kim Jong Un meeting.
Trump announces plan to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 33%21%
President Trump publicly stated his intention to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving hopes of direct diplomacy and impacting market expectations significantly.
Trump announces intention to meet with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in 2026
Kim Jong Un plunges to 33%21%
President Trump publicly stated plans to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, citing their good personal relationship, which influenced market expectations despite uncertainty about concrete arrangements.
Trump says he will meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later in 2026
Kim Jong Un surges to 37%25%
Trump publicly announced his intention to meet Kim Jong Un later in 2026, reviving hopes of direct diplomacy and causing a significant increase in market probability for their meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to seal major defense and investment deals
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 75%12%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, confirming major defense agreements including an anticipated F-35 sale and large-scale U.S. investments, reinforcing the strategic partnership and increasing market confidence in their meeting.
Trump holds 90-minute call with Putin, offers to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 49%14%
Trump engaged in a lengthy phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, offering assistance to end the Ukraine conflict, but no in-person meeting was confirmed, leading to fluctuating market confidence in a Trump-Putin meeting in 2026.
Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House to seal major defense and investment deals
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 74%11%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman to Washington, marking a new phase in U.S.-Saudi relations with announcements of F-35 sales and multi-billion-dollar investments, reinforcing market confidence in their meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump as a symbol of strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, which increased market confidence but did not confirm a meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%6%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, underscoring a close strategic partnership with major arms and investment agenda, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
MrBeast attends 2026 FIFA World Cup final with Donald Trump
MrBeast was spotted alongside Donald Trump at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, indicating a possible in-person meeting, though no formal diplomatic or political meeting was reported, keeping market probability low.
MrBeast meets Donald Trump for casual lunch, sparking speculation
MrBeast dips to 11%3%
MrBeast and Donald Trump were seen having a casual lunch together, an unexpected encounter that briefly raised market interest in a potential meeting, though no political or formal meeting was confirmed.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI of Morocco officially named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and mutual respect, which increased market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI honored Trump by naming a major Moroccan expressway after him, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and mutual respect, though no in-person meeting was reported, leading to low market confidence.
Trump expresses gratitude for 'Donald J. Trump Highway' named by King Mohammed VI
Donald Trump publicly thanked King Mohammed VI of Morocco for naming the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway,' highlighting the strong bilateral relations and signaling a likely meeting between the two leaders in 2026.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco officially named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, though no in-person meeting was reported, leading to low market confidence.
MrBeast and Donald Trump attend 2026 FIFA World Cup final match
MrBeast dips to 11%1%
MrBeast and Donald Trump were both spotted attending the 2026 FIFA World Cup final, indicating a public encounter but no confirmed meeting, contributing to low market confidence in a formal meeting.
MrBeast attends 2026 FIFA World Cup final with Donald Trump
MrBeast dips to 11%4%
MrBeast was present at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final alongside Donald Trump, indicating a public encounter but no confirmed private meeting, contributing to low market confidence in a formal meeting.
MrBeast and Donald Trump both attend 2026 FIFA World Cup Final
Both Donald Trump and MrBeast were spotted attending the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final, indicating a possible in-person meeting, though no direct interaction was confirmed, leading to low market confidence.
Trump holds calls with Putin and Zelenskyy amid Ukraine conflict developments
Vladimir Putin jumps to 49%12%
Trump held separate calls with Putin and Zelenskyy discussing the Ukraine war and offered to help find a solution, signaling active diplomacy and affecting market expectations for a Trump-Putin meeting.
Donald Trump holds 90-minute phone call with Vladimir Putin offering to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 38%5%
Trump's lengthy call with Putin, offering assistance to resolve the Ukraine conflict, demonstrated active engagement between the two leaders, affecting market expectations of a possible meeting in 2026.
Trump offers to help end Ukraine war in call with Putin
Trump's 90-minute call with Putin included an offer to help end the Ukraine war, reflecting ongoing dialogue but no confirmed in-person meeting, which influenced market prices for a Trump-Putin meeting.
Trump holds 90-minute call with Vladimir Putin offering to help end Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 39%13%
Trump and Putin spoke by phone for nearly 90 minutes, with Trump offering assistance to find a solution to the Ukraine conflict. This active engagement raised market expectations of a possible meeting in 2026.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan highway after Donald Trump
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named the Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway' in recognition of Trump's support for Moroccan sovereignty, symbolizing strong bilateral ties but not indicating a confirmed meeting, contributing to low market confidence.
King Mohammed VI names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump as a symbol of strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, increasing market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting despite no confirmed in-person meeting.
Morocco names Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump as a symbol of strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, though no confirmed in-person meeting occurred, leading to low market confidence.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI named a major Moroccan expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral ties and mutual respect, which influenced market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington amid strategic talks
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 67%8%
President Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman again in Washington, discussing major defense deals including F-35 sales and large-scale investments, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
Trump and Mohammed bin Salman meet in Washington amid strategic deal talks
Mohammed bin Salman rises to 66%4%
President Donald Trump hosted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, discussing major arms deals and investment plans, reinforcing their strategic partnership.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI honored Trump by naming a major expressway after him, symbolizing strong bilateral ties but without a confirmed in-person meeting, leading to low market confidence in a meeting.
King Mohammed VI names Morocco’s Tiznit-Dakhla Expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, with Trump expressing gratitude and anticipation of visiting the highway, reflecting close ties but not a confirmed meeting.
PBS FRONTLINE documentary explores alliance between Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Donald Trump
A documentary aired on June 30, 2026, highlighting the strategic partnership between Trump and Mohammed bin Salman, reinforcing public awareness and market confidence in their ongoing relationship.
Russian President Vladimir Putin visits China for talks with Xi Jinping
Vladimir Putin jumps to 65%8%
Putin's visit to China shortly after Trump's visit reinforced Beijing's role as a global pivot and influenced market perceptions of Putin's diplomatic activity and potential meetings with Trump in 2026.
Donald Trump visits China and meets with President Xi Jinping
Trump's visit to China and meeting with Xi Jinping in May 2026 signaled ongoing high-level diplomatic engagement, indirectly affecting expectations for meetings with other leaders like Putin and impacting the market for related outcomes.
Trump reports good conversations with Putin and Zelenskiy on Ukraine war
Vladimir Putin jumps to 50%6%
Trump stated he had good conversations with Putin and Zelenskiy aiming to settle the Ukraine war, indicating active diplomatic engagement and influencing market views on a Trump-Putin meeting.
Lukashenko states readiness to meet Trump once a 'big deal' is prepared
Belarusian President Lukashenko said he would meet Trump after finalizing a comprehensive agreement beyond sanctions relief, indicating ongoing diplomatic negotiations and sustaining market interest in their meeting.
Lukashenko sets terms for potential meeting with Trump after 'big deal' is prepared
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 40%28%
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' covering sanctions relief and broader issues is finalized, keeping the possibility of a meeting alive.
Lukashenko says meeting with Trump possible after 'big deal' is ready
Aleksandr Lukashenko rises to 27%4%
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive agreement is finalized, fueling market speculation about their potential meeting.
Lukashenko sets terms for meeting with Trump, awaiting 'big deal'
Aleksandr Lukashenko rises to 24%1%
Belarusian President Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive agreement is prepared, indicating ongoing diplomatic progress and supporting market confidence.
Belarusian President Lukashenko says ready to meet Trump once 'big deal' is prepared
Lukashenko stated he would meet Trump after finalizing a comprehensive agreement, signaling progress toward a high-level meeting and influencing market expectations.
Belarusian President Lukashenko states readiness to meet Trump once a 'big deal' is prepared
Aleksandr Lukashenko jumps to 25%5%
Lukashenko publicly declared willingness to meet Trump after finalizing a comprehensive agreement, reinforcing market anticipation of their meeting in 2026.
Belarusian President Lukashenko says meeting with Trump possible once 'big deal' is ready
Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive agreement is finalized, signaling progress in diplomatic relations and affecting market confidence in a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Belarusian President Lukashenko sets terms for meeting Trump after 'big deal'
Lukashenko stated readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive agreement is finalized, emphasizing the need for a broad negotiation agenda beyond sanctions and prisoner releases.
Trump envoy negotiates release of 250 political prisoners in Belarus, plans meeting with Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 24%27%
Trump's envoy John Coale secured the release of 250 detainees in Belarus during talks with President Alexander Lukashenko, and Trump announced plans to meet Lukashenko at the next Board of Peace meeting, raising market expectations for a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Trump announces meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko rises to 23%4%
Trump announced plans to meet Belarusian leader Lukashenko at the next Board of Peace meeting after his envoy secured the release of political prisoners, raising market expectations for their meeting.
Trump announces planned meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 22%29%
Trump announced plans to meet Lukashenko at the upcoming Board of Peace session after his envoy secured the release of 250 political prisoners, signaling warming US-Belarus relations and boosting market confidence in a meeting.
Trump plans meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko after prisoner release
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 26%25%
Following the release of political prisoners in Belarus, Trump announced plans to meet with Lukashenko at an upcoming Peace Board session, signaling warming ties and increasing the likelihood of a meeting in 2026.
US considers inviting Lukashenko to meet Trump amid thaw in ties
Aleksandr Lukashenko dips to 23%1%
The US contemplated inviting Belarusian President Lukashenko to meet Trump at the White House or Mar-a-Lago, signaling warming relations and increasing market confidence in a 2026 meeting.
Trump envoy negotiates prisoner release with Belarusian leader Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 22%29%
Trump's envoy secured the release of 250 political prisoners from Belarus, with Lukashenko expressing readiness to meet Trump once a comprehensive 'big deal' is prepared, supporting market expectations of a future meeting.
Belarus releases political prisoners after US envoy talks, Trump plans Lukashenko meeting
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 22%29%
Following negotiations led by Trump's envoy, Belarus released political prisoners, and Trump announced plans to meet Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko, raising market confidence in their meeting.
Trump envoy negotiates release of political prisoners in Belarus, paving way for meeting with Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 20%31%
Trump's envoy John Coale negotiated the release of 250 political prisoners in Belarus, leading to improved relations and Trump's announcement of a planned meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko.
Trump announces planned meeting with Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko rises to 23%4%
Following diplomatic progress including prisoner releases, Trump announced plans to meet Belarusian President Lukashenko at an upcoming Peace Board meeting, raising market expectations for their encounter.
US envoy negotiates prisoner release with Belarusian leader Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko rises to 23%1%
Trump's envoy John Coale secured the release of 250 political prisoners from Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, increasing expectations of a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
US Special Envoy John Coale negotiates with Belarusian President Aleksandr Lukashenko leading to prisoner releases
Aleksandr Lukashenko surges to 68%45%
Negotiations led by Trump's envoy John Coale with Lukashenko resulted in the release of political prisoners and set the stage for a potential Trump-Lukashenko meeting contingent on a 'big deal', influencing market expectations.
US envoy negotiates release of political prisoners with Belarusian leader Lukashenko
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 22%29%
Trump's envoy John Coale secured release of 250 detainees from Belarus in exchange for sanctions relief, signaling warming ties and paving way for a potential Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Belarus releases 250 political prisoners after US envoy talks
Aleksandr Lukashenko plunges to 24%27%
Following negotiations involving Trump's envoy John Coale and Belarusian President Lukashenko, 250 political prisoners were released, boosting market confidence in a Trump-Lukashenko meeting.
Trump reports 'very good call' with Putin on Ukraine and Middle East conflicts
Vladimir Putin dips to 63%2%
Trump told reporters he had a positive phone call with Putin discussing Ukraine and Iran conflicts, reinforcing market speculation about a future meeting between the two leaders.
Trump holds positive call with Vladimir Putin about Ukraine and Middle East conflicts
Vladimir Putin rises to 46%2%
Trump reported a very good call with Putin discussing Ukraine and Iran conflicts, signaling ongoing engagement and raising market expectations for a possible meeting.
Trump says he had a very good call with Putin about Ukraine and Middle East conflicts
Trump reported a positive phone call with Putin discussing Ukraine and the Middle East, reinforcing ongoing diplomatic dialogue and the possibility of future meetings in 2026.
Trump praises Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez amid oil partnership
Trump lauded Delcy Rodríguez's cooperation and the start of oil flows between Venezuela and the US, signaling strong bilateral ties and increasing market confidence in a meeting.
Trump and Delcy Rodríguez exchange praise amid oil partnership
Delcy Rodríguez jumps to 51%13%
Trump praised Delcy Rodríguez's cooperation on oil supply and diplomatic channels, reinforcing market confidence in their ongoing collaboration and potential meeting.
Trump praises Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez amid oil partnership talks
Delcy Rodríguez dips to 34%4%
Trump publicly praised Delcy Rodríguez for cooperation and progress on oil supply agreements, signaling strong bilateral ties and increasing market confidence in a meeting between them.
Trump praises Delcy Rodríguez amid oil partnership talks
Trump publicly praised Delcy Rodríguez for cooperation on oil agreements between the US and Venezuela, reinforcing the possibility of diplomatic engagement and impacting market confidence.
White House confirms no firm plans yet for Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting
Delcy Rodríguez drops to 14%9%
White House spokesperson stated no confirmed date for a meeting with Delcy Rodríguez, tempering market expectations and contributing to price decline.
Trump and MrBeast meet for casual lunch
MrBeast dips to 11%3%
MrBeast and Donald Trump met for a casual lunch, but no political or formal meeting was reported, leading to low market confidence in a formal meeting between them in 2026.
Trump's White House spokesperson leaves open possibility of meeting with Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 22%29%
White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt stated no confirmed date for a meeting with Delcy Rodríguez but acknowledged discussions amid Venezuela's political transition, maintaining market interest in a potential meeting.
Trump and Colombian President Gustavo Petro meet at White House
Trump met with Colombian President Gustavo Petro to discuss cooperation on anti-drug efforts and regional security, reflecting improved diplomatic relations but not directly affecting the market outcomes.
White House spokesperson leaves open possibility of Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting
White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt stated no confirmed date for a Delcy Rodríguez visit but acknowledged discussions, maintaining market speculation about a meeting.
White House confirms possibility of meeting between Donald Trump and Delcy Rodríguez
White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt acknowledged discussions about a potential visit and meeting between Trump and Delcy Rodríguez amid Venezuelan political transition, affecting market sentiment.
White House spokesperson leaves door open for Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 23%28%
White House spokesperson Karoline Leavitt acknowledged discussions about a potential visit by Delcy Rodríguez to the US, though no firm plans existed, affecting market sentiment on their meeting likelihood.
Trump meets with Colombian President Gustavo Petro
President Trump held a meeting with Colombian President Gustavo Petro to discuss cooperation on security and regional issues, reflecting Trump's active diplomatic engagements in 2026.
Trump announces meeting with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 75%21%
Trump hosted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House, sealing major defense and investment deals, reinforcing the high market confidence in their meeting.
MrBeast's market probability dips amid lack of meeting news with Trump
MrBeast plunges to 11%16%
Despite some public interactions and rumors, there is no concrete evidence or announcement of a meeting between MrBeast and Donald Trump in 2026, leading to a decline in market probability for this outcome.
Trump expresses openness to meeting Kim Jong Un during Asia trip
Kim Jong Un plunges to 38%16%
During a Southeast Asia tour, Trump indicated willingness to meet North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, reviving speculation about a 2026 meeting, though no concrete plans were confirmed, influencing market prices.
White House confirms Delcy Rodríguez to visit Washington soon
Delcy Rodríguez jumps to 39%9%
The White House confirmed plans for Delcy Rodríguez to visit Washington, indicating a potential meeting with Trump, which supported market price increases for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump holds productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump confirmed a long and productive phone conversation with Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting. This improved market sentiment for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump praises Delcy Rodríguez and hints at future meeting
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 22%29%
Trump described Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodríguez as 'fantastic' after a long phone call and expressed openness to meeting her, reflecting warming relations and cooperation on oil supplies.
Donald Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 17%34%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting, impacting the market's view on their potential encounter.
Trump praises Delcy Rodríguez as 'fantastic' after phone call
Delcy Rodríguez jumps to 38%8%
Trump described Delcy Rodríguez as a 'fantastic person' following a productive phone conversation, signaling warming relations and raising market expectations for a meeting.
Trump praises Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez as 'fantastic' after phone call
Following a lengthy phone conversation, Trump described Delcy Rodríguez positively and confirmed improved relations, sustaining market interest in a potential meeting.
Delcy Rodríguez confirms productive phone dialogue with Donald Trump
Delcy Rodríguez confirmed a long, productive phone conversation with Trump, signaling improved bilateral relations and raising market confidence in a potential meeting.
Trump and Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 22%29%
Trump confirmed a long and productive phone call with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodríguez, praising her and leaving open the possibility of an in-person meeting, which influenced market confidence.
Trump confirms productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump revealed a long and productive phone conversation with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodríguez, expressing positive relations and openness to a future meeting. This development influenced the market's low but present expectation of a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting.
Donald Trump and Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Trump and Delcy Rodríguez confirmed a long, productive, and respectful phone call discussing bilateral work agendas and pending issues, signaling warming relations and potential for a future meeting.
Trump and Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone call, meeting possible
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 30%21%
Trump confirmed a positive and productive phone conversation with Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodríguez, expressing openness to an in-person meeting, which increased market expectations for a Trump-Delcy Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump and Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez hold productive phone conversation
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
Trump confirmed a long, productive phone call with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's acting president, and expressed openness to an in-person meeting, which increased market confidence in a potential Trump-Rodríguez meeting in 2026.
Trump states possibility of meeting with Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump publicly acknowledged the possibility of meeting Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez, describing her as very kind, which supported market expectations for a meeting in 2026.
Trump confirms possibility of meeting Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Trump publicly stated the possibility of meeting Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, highlighting ongoing cooperation including oil agreements, which boosted market confidence in a meeting.
Donald Trump says he may meet with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez in 2026
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 21%30%
Trump publicly stated the possibility of meeting Delcy Rodríguez, president in charge of Venezuela, highlighting ongoing cooperation and energy agreements, which increased market expectations for a meeting.
Trump indicates possible future meeting with Venezuela’s Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 15%36%
President Trump stated he might meet with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela’s acting president, highlighting ongoing diplomatic engagement and cooperation on energy and political issues, though no confirmed meeting date was set.
Donald Trump indicates possibility of meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump stated he might meet with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, highlighting ongoing communications and cooperation on energy and political matters, which influenced market sentiment for a potential meeting.
Trump says he plans to meet with Venezuelan leader Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 17%34%
President Trump publicly stated he intends to meet with Delcy Rodríguez, the acting president of Venezuela, signaling warming relations and potential in-person engagement in 2026.
Donald Trump confirms productive phone call with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez and openness to meeting
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
Trump acknowledged a long, productive phone conversation with Delcy Rodríguez, Venezuela's interim president, and expressed willingness to meet her, influencing market pricing for a potential meeting.
Trump says he may meet with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 18%33%
President Donald Trump stated he might meet with Venezuela's interim president Delcy Rodríguez, highlighting ongoing communication and cooperation on energy and political issues, signaling a potential in-person meeting.
Trump signals possible meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 22%29%
President Trump expressed openness to meeting Venezuelan interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, praising her and discussing oil agreements, which influenced market expectations despite no confirmed meeting.
Trump indicates possible meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 23%28%
President Trump stated there was a possibility of meeting with Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, signaling a potential diplomatic engagement that influenced market expectations.
Trump indicates possibility of meeting with Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 23%28%
Trump publicly stated openness to meeting Venezuelan interim president Delcy Rodríguez, praising their cooperation and discussing oil deals, which influenced market expectations despite no confirmed meeting yet.
Trump signals possible meeting with Delcy Rodríguez amid Venezuela transition
Delcy Rodríguez plunges to 14%37%
President Trump indicated a potential meeting with Venezuela's interim leader Delcy Rodríguez, highlighting improving relations and cooperation on oil supplies, which lowered market uncertainty for this outcome.
King Mohammed VI names Moroccan expressway the 'Donald J. Trump Highway'
King Mohammed VI plunges to 19%31%
King Mohammed VI of Morocco named a major expressway after Donald Trump, symbolizing strong bilateral relations and mutual respect, which influenced market confidence in a Trump-King Mohammed VI meeting despite no confirmed in-person meeting.
President Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman jumps to 68%14%
Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to Washington, marking a new phase in U.S.-Saudi relations with announcements of F-35 sales and multi-billion-dollar investments, reinforcing market confidence in their meeting.
Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in Washington
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 72%18%
President Donald Trump hosted Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House, marking a significant diplomatic engagement with major announcements on defense and investment, boosting market confidence in their meeting.
President Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 76%22%
Trump welcomed Mohammed bin Salman to Washington with major defense and investment deal announcements, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026 and boosting market confidence.
President Donald Trump meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 70%16%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a significant diplomatic event with discussions on defense deals and regional diplomacy, boosting market confidence in their meeting.
Donald Trump meets Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 74%20%
Trump hosted Mohammed bin Salman in Washington, marking a significant diplomatic engagement with major defense and investment deals announced, including F-35 sales and large-scale U.S. investments. This meeting increased market confidence in a Trump-Mohammed bin Salman meeting in 2026.
Trump and Mohammed bin Salman discuss investment and F-35 deals
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 76%22%
During the Saudi Crown Prince's visit to Washington, Trump and Mohammed bin Salman discussed major investment pledges and the sale of F-35 fighter jets, reinforcing the likelihood of their meeting in 2026.
Trump hosts Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman at the White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 72%18%
President Donald Trump welcomed Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to the White House with a ceremonial event, discussing business, peace, and defense relations, signaling a strong diplomatic engagement between the two leaders.
Donald Trump hosts Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman at White House
Mohammed bin Salman surges to 75%21%
President Trump welcomed Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman with a ceremonial visit including military honors and formal meetings, marking a significant diplomatic engagement and signaling a strong U.S.-Saudi partnership. This event increased market confidence in a Trump-Mohammed bin Salman meeting in 2026.
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