**President Lee Jae-myung’s ongoing criminal cases remain suspended under South Korean constitutional immunity.** As sitting president since his June 2025 election victory, Lee is protected from prosecution and arrest on most charges, including the election-law violation and multiple corruption or breach-of-trust indictments filed before he took office. Courts have indefinitely postponed proceedings in all five cases, citing Article 84 protections that apply except in instances of insurrection or treason. No new indictments or arrest warrants targeting the president have advanced since the suspensions took effect in 2025, and recent reporting through mid-2026 shows no material change in this status. Traders therefore assign high probability to the “No” outcome through the end of 2026, reflecting both the legal barrier and the absence of any overriding political or judicial development capable of triggering an arrest within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8% tsansa
$538,859 Vol.
$538,859 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% tsansa
$538,859 Vol.
$538,859 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s ongoing criminal cases remain suspended under South Korean constitutional immunity.**
As sitting president since his June 2025 election victory, Lee is protected from prosecution and arrest on most charges, including the election-law violation and multiple corruption or breach-of-trust indictments filed before he took office. Courts have indefinitely postponed proceedings in all five cases, citing Article 84 protections that apply except in instances of insurrection or treason. No new indictments or arrest warrants targeting the president have advanced since the suspensions took effect in 2025, and recent reporting through mid-2026 shows no material change in this status. Traders therefore assign high probability to the “No” outcome through the end of 2026, reflecting both the legal barrier and the absence of any overriding political or judicial development capable of triggering an arrest within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$538,859Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s ongoing criminal cases remain suspended under South Korean constitutional immunity.**
As sitting president since his June 2025 election victory, Lee is protected from prosecution and arrest on most charges, including the election-law violation and multiple corruption or breach-of-trust indictments filed before he took office. Courts have indefinitely postponed proceedings in all five cases, citing Article 84 protections that apply except in instances of insurrection or treason. No new indictments or arrest warrants targeting the president have advanced since the suspensions took effect in 2025, and recent reporting through mid-2026 shows no material change in this status. Traders therefore assign high probability to the “No” outcome through the end of 2026, reflecting both the legal barrier and the absence of any overriding political or judicial development capable of triggering an arrest within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$538,859Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s ongoing criminal cases remain suspended under South Korean constitutional immunity.** As sitting president since his June 2025 election victory, Lee is protected from prosecution and arrest on most charges, including the election-law violation and multiple corruption or breach-of-trust indictments filed before he took office. Courts have indefinitely postponed proceedings in all five cases, citing Article 84 protections that apply except in instances of insurrection or treason. No new indictments or arrest warrants targeting the president have advanced since the suspensions took effect in 2025, and recent reporting through mid-2026 shows no material change in this status. Traders therefore assign high probability to the “No” outcome through the end of 2026, reflecting both the legal barrier and the absence of any overriding political or judicial development capable of triggering an arrest within the narrow remaining window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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