As sitting president of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional protections that shield him from arrest during his term, a key factor supporting traders' 90% consensus that no detention will occur before 2027. Recent developments include his March 2026 approval of judicial reform legislation expanding the Supreme Court and addressing case backlogs, alongside sustained public support tied to economic performance and responses to regional tensions. Ongoing trials related to prior election and development matters continue through appeals without triggering detention, reflecting standard procedures for high officeholders. These institutional and political dynamics reinforce the market's assessment of low near-term risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$319,738 Vol.
$319,738 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$319,738 Vol.
$319,738 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As sitting president of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional protections that shield him from arrest during his term, a key factor supporting traders' 90% consensus that no detention will occur before 2027. Recent developments include his March 2026 approval of judicial reform legislation expanding the Supreme Court and addressing case backlogs, alongside sustained public support tied to economic performance and responses to regional tensions. Ongoing trials related to prior election and development matters continue through appeals without triggering detention, reflecting standard procedures for high officeholders. These institutional and political dynamics reinforce the market's assessment of low near-term risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$319,738Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As sitting president of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional protections that shield him from arrest during his term, a key factor supporting traders' 90% consensus that no detention will occur before 2027. Recent developments include his March 2026 approval of judicial reform legislation expanding the Supreme Court and addressing case backlogs, alongside sustained public support tied to economic performance and responses to regional tensions. Ongoing trials related to prior election and development matters continue through appeals without triggering detention, reflecting standard procedures for high officeholders. These institutional and political dynamics reinforce the market's assessment of low near-term risk.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$319,738Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As sitting president of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional protections that shield him from arrest during his term, a key factor supporting traders' 90% consensus that no detention will occur before 2027. Recent developments include his March 2026 approval of judicial reform legislation expanding the Supreme Court and addressing case backlogs, alongside sustained public support tied to economic performance and responses to regional tensions. Ongoing trials related to prior election and development matters continue through appeals without triggering detention, reflecting standard procedures for high officeholders. These institutional and political dynamics reinforce the market's assessment of low near-term risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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