**Presidential immunity under South Korea’s Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases against Lee Jae-myung, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or prosecution while he serves as head of state.** Courts have cited these protections explicitly, and police recently dismissed related complaints for insufficient evidence. Legislative efforts by the Democratic Party to pursue special-counsel review or statutory changes that could lead to case dismissals after his term further reduce near-term risks. With no major court rulings or political shifts in recent months that would lift immunity before December 31, 2026, traders see detention as improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% tsansa
$548,061 Vol.
$548,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% tsansa
$548,061 Vol.
$548,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under South Korea’s Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases against Lee Jae-myung, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or prosecution while he serves as head of state.**
Courts have cited these protections explicitly, and police recently dismissed related complaints for insufficient evidence. Legislative efforts by the Democratic Party to pursue special-counsel review or statutory changes that could lead to case dismissals after his term further reduce near-term risks. With no major court rulings or political shifts in recent months that would lift immunity before December 31, 2026, traders see detention as improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$548,061Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under South Korea’s Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases against Lee Jae-myung, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or prosecution while he serves as head of state.**
Courts have cited these protections explicitly, and police recently dismissed related complaints for insufficient evidence. Legislative efforts by the Democratic Party to pursue special-counsel review or statutory changes that could lead to case dismissals after his term further reduce near-term risks. With no major court rulings or political shifts in recent months that would lift immunity before December 31, 2026, traders see detention as improbable absent extraordinary developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$548,061Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Presidential immunity under South Korea’s Article 84 has suspended all pending criminal cases against Lee Jae-myung, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or prosecution while he serves as head of state.** Courts have cited these protections explicitly, and police recently dismissed related complaints for insufficient evidence. Legislative efforts by the Democratic Party to pursue special-counsel review or statutory changes that could lead to case dismissals after his term further reduce near-term risks. With no major court rulings or political shifts in recent months that would lift immunity before December 31, 2026, traders see detention as improbable absent extraordinary developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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