Current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure dominating Cape Town through September 7, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 14–17°C. This pattern aligns with recent mild conditions driven by a lack of cold fronts or strong southeasterly advection, keeping trader-implied odds highest for 19°C or above while spreading volume across 12–16°C outcomes. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and local observations expected to refine resolution before market close. Historical September baselines around 11°C provide context but current anomalies favor warmer readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 7?
19°C or higher 69%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
14°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
23%
10°C
20%
11°C
49%
12°C
28%
13°C
28%
14°C
29%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
19%
19°C or higher
69%
19°C or higher 69%
11°C 49%
15°C 49%
14°C 29%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
23%
10°C
$0 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
49%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure dominating Cape Town through September 7, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 14–17°C. This pattern aligns with recent mild conditions driven by a lack of cold fronts or strong southeasterly advection, keeping trader-implied odds highest for 19°C or above while spreading volume across 12–16°C outcomes. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and local observations expected to refine resolution before market close. Historical September baselines around 11°C provide context but current anomalies favor warmer readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure dominating Cape Town through September 7, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 14–17°C. This pattern aligns with recent mild conditions driven by a lack of cold fronts or strong southeasterly advection, keeping trader-implied odds highest for 19°C or above while spreading volume across 12–16°C outcomes. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and local observations expected to refine resolution before market close. Historical September baselines around 11°C provide context but current anomalies favor warmer readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure dominating Cape Town through September 7, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 14–17°C. This pattern aligns with recent mild conditions driven by a lack of cold fronts or strong southeasterly advection, keeping trader-implied odds highest for 19°C or above while spreading volume across 12–16°C outcomes. Minor model differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with updated runs and local observations expected to refine resolution before market close. Historical September baselines around 11°C provide context but current anomalies favor warmer readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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