**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,807 Vol.
$2,807 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,807 Vol.
$2,807 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$664 Vol.
No
23°C
$286 Vol.
No
24°C
$249 Vol.
No
25°C
$263 Vol.
No
26°C
$189 Vol.
No
27°C
$547 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$218 Vol.
No
29°C
$105 Vol.
No
30°C
$95 Vol.
No
31°C
$95 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$95 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$2,807Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,807Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 21, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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