Recent Met Office and other forecasts indicate a mild overnight minimum in London on August 23, with daytime highs near 24°C under sunny intervals and limited cloud cover. This supports the near-even trader split between 13°C and 14°C implied probabilities. Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, combined with light winds and a stable maritime air mass, will primarily determine the low; modest variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical August averages near 14°C provide context, while the absence of strong fronts or Atlantic lows keeps extreme deviations unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on August 23?
Lowest temperature in London on August 23?
14°C 37%
13°C 35%
12°C 17%
15°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
1%
11°C
6%
12°C
17%
13°C
35%
14°C
37%
15°C
7%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 37%
13°C 35%
12°C 17%
15°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$17 Vol.
1%
9°C
$37 Vol.
2%
10°C
$20 Vol.
1%
11°C
$163 Vol.
6%
12°C
$692 Vol.
17%
13°C
$1,299 Vol.
35%
14°C
$871 Vol.
37%
15°C
$286 Vol.
7%
16°C
$86 Vol.
3%
17°C
$47 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$71 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and other forecasts indicate a mild overnight minimum in London on August 23, with daytime highs near 24°C under sunny intervals and limited cloud cover. This supports the near-even trader split between 13°C and 14°C implied probabilities. Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, combined with light winds and a stable maritime air mass, will primarily determine the low; modest variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical August averages near 14°C provide context, while the absence of strong fronts or Atlantic lows keeps extreme deviations unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,590Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and other forecasts indicate a mild overnight minimum in London on August 23, with daytime highs near 24°C under sunny intervals and limited cloud cover. This supports the near-even trader split between 13°C and 14°C implied probabilities. Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, combined with light winds and a stable maritime air mass, will primarily determine the low; modest variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical August averages near 14°C provide context, while the absence of strong fronts or Atlantic lows keeps extreme deviations unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,590Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 23, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and other forecasts indicate a mild overnight minimum in London on August 23, with daytime highs near 24°C under sunny intervals and limited cloud cover. This supports the near-even trader split between 13°C and 14°C implied probabilities. Overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, combined with light winds and a stable maritime air mass, will primarily determine the low; modest variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could easily shift the outcome by 1°C. Historical August averages near 14°C provide context, while the absence of strong fronts or Atlantic lows keeps extreme deviations unlikely. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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