Skip to main content
icon for Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?

Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?

icon for Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?

Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?

Aug 27

Aug 28

Aug 27

Aug 28

80-81°F 42%

78-79°F 37%

82-83°F 15%

76-77°F 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

80-81°F 42%

78-79°F 37%

82-83°F 15%

76-77°F 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

67°F or below

$763 Vol.

<1%

68-69°F

$212 Vol.

<1%

70-71°F

$154 Vol.

1%

72-73°F

$91 Vol.

1%

74-75°F

$135 Vol.

5%

76-77°F

$88 Vol.

21%

78-79°F

$127 Vol.

27%

80-81°F

$139 Vol.

33%

82-83°F

$90 Vol.

31%

84-85°F

$225 Vol.

<1%

86°F or higher

$378 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 27, 2026, near 81°F, with ranges mostly between the upper 70s and low 80s.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 80-81°F (42.5%), followed by 78-79°F and 82-83°F bins. Typical late-August conditions in subtropical Miami feature high humidity, persistent cloud cover from tropical moisture, and light easterly or southeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect and proximity to the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, keeping minimums well above the climatological average of roughly 77-78°F. Current model consensus and official guidance show no strong cold advection or clear, dry air mass to drive deeper cooling. Recent observations and short-term forecasts highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms through the period, which add cloud cover and maintain elevated dew points around 75-80°F. These factors reinforce trader expectations for a lowest temperature clustered near 80-81°F, as reflected in the aggregated market odds. Updated NWS briefings or any late-day model shifts on steering patterns or moisture could still influence final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other meteorological sources indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 27, 2026, near 81°F, with ranges mostly between the upper 70s and low 80s.** This aligns with the market's leading implied probabilities for 80-81°F (42.5%), followed by 78-79°F and 82-83°F bins. Typical late-August conditions in subtropical Miami feature high humidity, persistent cloud cover from tropical moisture, and light easterly or southeasterly winds that limit radiational cooling overnight. The urban heat island effect and proximity to the warm Atlantic further suppress temperature drops, keeping minimums well above the climatological average of roughly 77-78°F. Current model consensus and official guidance show no strong cold advection or clear, dry air mass to drive deeper cooling. Recent observations and short-term forecasts highlight scattered showers and thunderstorms through the period, which add cloud cover and maintain elevated dew points around 75-80°F. These factors reinforce trader expectations for a lowest temperature clustered near 80-81°F, as reflected in the aggregated market odds. Updated NWS briefings or any late-day model shifts on steering patterns or moisture could still influence final resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,401
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 27, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Kaugnay

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 28?

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 28?

39%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 27?

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 27?

56%
icon for Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 28?

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 28?

46%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "80-81°F" sa 33%, sinusundan ng "82-83°F" sa 31%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 33¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 25, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?" ay "80-81°F" sa 33%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 33% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "82-83°F" sa 31%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Lowest temperature in Miami on August 27?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.